Invesco Trust For Stock Market Value
| VGM Stock | USD 10.15 0.01 0.1% |
| Symbol | Invesco |
Is Asset Management & Custody Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Invesco Trust. If investors know Invesco will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Invesco Trust listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Invesco Trust For is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Invesco that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Invesco Trust's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Invesco Trust's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Invesco Trust's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Invesco Trust's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Invesco Trust's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Invesco Trust is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Invesco Trust's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.
Invesco Trust 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Invesco Trust's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Invesco Trust.
| 02/29/2024 |
| 11/25/2024 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Invesco Trust on February 29, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Invesco Trust For or generate 0.0% return on investment in Invesco Trust over 270 days. Invesco Trust is related to or competes with Invesco Municipal, DWS Municipal, MFS Municipal, MFS High, Blackrock Muniyield, Invesco Municipal, and Invesco Quality. Invesco Trust for Investment Grade Municipals is a closed-ended fixed income mutual fund launched by Invesco Ltd More
Invesco Trust Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Invesco Trust's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Invesco Trust For upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Information Ratio | (0.28) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 2.66 | |||
| Value At Risk | (0.78) | |||
| Potential Upside | 0.6757 |
Invesco Trust Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Invesco Trust's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Invesco Trust's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Invesco Trust historical prices to predict the future Invesco Trust's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.02) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.01) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.09) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.2968 |
Invesco Trust For Backtested Returns
Invesco Trust For holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of -0.0135, which attests that the entity had a -0.0135% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Invesco Trust For exposes twenty-four different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please check out Invesco Trust's Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.02), standard deviation of 0.4845, and Market Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.3068 to validate the risk estimate we provide. The company retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of -0.0557, which attests to not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Invesco Trust are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Invesco Trust is likely to outperform the market. At this point, Invesco Trust For has a negative expected return of -0.0065%. Please make sure to check out Invesco Trust's potential upside, rate of daily change, as well as the relationship between the Rate Of Daily Change and period momentum indicator , to decide if Invesco Trust For performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Auto-correlation | -0.13 |
Insignificant reverse predictability
Invesco Trust For has insignificant reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Invesco Trust time series from 29th of February 2024 to 13th of July 2024 and 13th of July 2024 to 25th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Invesco Trust For price movement. The serial correlation of -0.13 indicates that less than 13.0% of current Invesco Trust price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.13 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.12 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.02 |
Invesco Trust For lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Invesco Trust stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Invesco Trust's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Invesco Trust returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Invesco Trust has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
Invesco Trust regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Invesco Trust stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Invesco Trust stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Invesco Trust stock over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
Invesco Trust Lagged Returns
When evaluating Invesco Trust's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Invesco Trust stock have on its future price. Invesco Trust autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Invesco Trust autocorrelation shows the relationship between Invesco Trust stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Invesco Trust For.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
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Invesco Trust technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.