Virtus Emerging Markets Fund Market Value

VIESX Fund  USD 15.60  0.05  0.32%   
Virtus Emerging's market value is the price at which a share of Virtus Emerging trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Virtus Emerging Markets investors about its performance. Virtus Emerging is trading at 15.60 as of the 23rd of November 2024; that is 0.32 percent increase since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 15.55.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Virtus Emerging Markets and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Virtus Emerging over a given investment horizon. Check out Virtus Emerging Correlation, Virtus Emerging Volatility and Virtus Emerging Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Virtus Emerging.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Virtus Emerging's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Virtus Emerging is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Virtus Emerging's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Virtus Emerging 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Virtus Emerging's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Virtus Emerging.
0.00
10/24/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
11/23/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Virtus Emerging on October 24, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Virtus Emerging Markets or generate 0.0% return on investment in Virtus Emerging over 30 days. Virtus Emerging is related to or competes with Vanguard Emerging, Vanguard Emerging, American Funds, and New World. Under normal circumstances, the fund invests at least 80 percent of its assets in equity or equity-linked securities of ... More

Virtus Emerging Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Virtus Emerging's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Virtus Emerging Markets upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Virtus Emerging Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Virtus Emerging's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Virtus Emerging's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Virtus Emerging historical prices to predict the future Virtus Emerging's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Virtus Emerging's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
15.0515.6016.15
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
14.3814.9317.16
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
14.7415.2915.84
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
15.5315.5715.61
Details

Virtus Emerging Markets Backtested Returns

Virtus Emerging Markets owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of -0.0617, which indicates the fund had a -0.0617% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Virtus Emerging Markets exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please validate Virtus Emerging's Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.06), coefficient of variation of (1,480), and Variance of 0.3289 to confirm the risk estimate we provide. The entity has a beta of -0.057, which indicates not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Virtus Emerging are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Virtus Emerging is likely to outperform the market.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.05  

Very weak reverse predictability

Virtus Emerging Markets has very weak reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Virtus Emerging time series from 24th of October 2024 to 8th of November 2024 and 8th of November 2024 to 23rd of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Virtus Emerging Markets price movement. The serial correlation of -0.05 indicates that only as little as 5.0% of current Virtus Emerging price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.05
Spearman Rank Test-0.49
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.02

Virtus Emerging Markets lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Virtus Emerging mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Virtus Emerging's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Virtus Emerging returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Virtus Emerging has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Virtus Emerging regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Virtus Emerging mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Virtus Emerging mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Virtus Emerging mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Virtus Emerging Lagged Returns

When evaluating Virtus Emerging's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Virtus Emerging mutual fund have on its future price. Virtus Emerging autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Virtus Emerging autocorrelation shows the relationship between Virtus Emerging mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Virtus Emerging Markets.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Virtus Mutual Fund

Virtus Emerging financial ratios help investors to determine whether Virtus Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Virtus with respect to the benefits of owning Virtus Emerging security.
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