Volkswagen (Germany) Market Value
| VOW Stock | 83.40 0.15 0.18% |
| Symbol | Volkswagen |
Volkswagen 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Volkswagen's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Volkswagen.
| 12/13/2022 |
| 12/02/2024 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Volkswagen on December 13, 2022 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Volkswagen AG or generate 0.0% return on investment in Volkswagen over 720 days. Volkswagen is related to or competes with Tesla, Toyota, BYD Company, Superior Plus, NMI Holdings, Origin Agritech, and SIVERS SEMICONDUCTORS. More
Volkswagen Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Volkswagen's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Volkswagen AG upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Information Ratio | (0.23) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 7.24 | |||
| Value At Risk | (3.85) | |||
| Potential Upside | 2.67 |
Volkswagen Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Volkswagen's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Volkswagen's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Volkswagen historical prices to predict the future Volkswagen's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.11) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.30) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.59) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (1.97) |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Volkswagen's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Volkswagen AG Backtested Returns
Volkswagen AG owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of -0.16, which indicates the firm had a -0.16% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Volkswagen AG exposes twenty-three different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please validate Volkswagen's Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.11), coefficient of variation of (666.77), and Variance of 3.32 to confirm the risk estimate we provide. The entity has a beta of 0.14, which indicates not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Volkswagen's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Volkswagen is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Volkswagen AG has a negative expected return of -0.3%. Please make sure to validate Volkswagen's total risk alpha, skewness, as well as the relationship between the Skewness and day median price , to decide if Volkswagen AG performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Auto-correlation | 0.78 |
Good predictability
Volkswagen AG has good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Volkswagen time series from 13th of December 2022 to 8th of December 2023 and 8th of December 2023 to 2nd of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Volkswagen AG price movement. The serial correlation of 0.78 indicates that around 78.0% of current Volkswagen price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.78 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.69 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 225.32 |
Volkswagen AG lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Volkswagen stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Volkswagen's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Volkswagen returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Volkswagen has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
Volkswagen regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Volkswagen stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Volkswagen stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Volkswagen stock over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
Volkswagen Lagged Returns
When evaluating Volkswagen's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Volkswagen stock have on its future price. Volkswagen autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Volkswagen autocorrelation shows the relationship between Volkswagen stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Volkswagen AG.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
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Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.Additional Tools for Volkswagen Stock Analysis
When running Volkswagen's price analysis, check to measure Volkswagen's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Volkswagen is operating at the current time. Most of Volkswagen's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Volkswagen's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Volkswagen's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Volkswagen to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.