Vanguard Small Cap Growth Fund Market Value

VSGIX Fund  USD 82.64  0.38  0.46%   
Vanguard Small-cap's market value is the price at which a share of Vanguard Small-cap trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Vanguard Small Cap Growth investors about its performance. Vanguard Small-cap is trading at 82.64 as of the 6th of February 2025; that is 0.46 percent down since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 83.02.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Vanguard Small Cap Growth and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Vanguard Small-cap over a given investment horizon. Check out Vanguard Small-cap Correlation, Vanguard Small-cap Volatility and Vanguard Small-cap Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Vanguard Small-cap.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Vanguard Small-cap's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Vanguard Small-cap is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Vanguard Small-cap's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Vanguard Small-cap 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Vanguard Small-cap's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Vanguard Small-cap.
0.00
01/07/2025
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
02/06/2025
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Vanguard Small-cap on January 7, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Vanguard Small Cap Growth or generate 0.0% return on investment in Vanguard Small-cap over 30 days. Vanguard Small-cap is related to or competes with Vest Large, Oakmark Fund, Smead Value, Tiaa Cref, Qs Large, Qs Us, and Touchstone Large. The fund advisor employs an indexing investment approach designed to track the performance of the CRSP US Small Cap Grow... More

Vanguard Small-cap Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Vanguard Small-cap's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Vanguard Small Cap Growth upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Vanguard Small-cap Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Vanguard Small-cap's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Vanguard Small-cap's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Vanguard Small-cap historical prices to predict the future Vanguard Small-cap's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
81.8683.0284.18
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
81.6482.8083.96
Details

Vanguard Small Cap Backtested Returns

At this stage we consider Vanguard Mutual Fund to be very steady. Vanguard Small Cap owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of 0.0249, which indicates the fund had a 0.0249 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-seven technical indicators for Vanguard Small Cap Growth, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the fund. Please validate Vanguard Small-cap's Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0268, coefficient of variation of 3138.77, and Semi Deviation of 1.24 to confirm if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0287%. The entity has a beta of 0.67, which indicates possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Vanguard Small-cap's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Vanguard Small-cap is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.42  

Modest reverse predictability

Vanguard Small Cap Growth has modest reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Vanguard Small-cap time series from 7th of January 2025 to 22nd of January 2025 and 22nd of January 2025 to 6th of February 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Vanguard Small Cap price movement. The serial correlation of -0.42 indicates that just about 42.0% of current Vanguard Small-cap price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.42
Spearman Rank Test-0.73
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.45

Vanguard Small Cap lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Vanguard Small-cap mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Vanguard Small-cap's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Vanguard Small-cap returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Vanguard Small-cap has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Vanguard Small-cap regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Vanguard Small-cap mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Vanguard Small-cap mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Vanguard Small-cap mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Vanguard Small-cap Lagged Returns

When evaluating Vanguard Small-cap's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Vanguard Small-cap mutual fund have on its future price. Vanguard Small-cap autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Vanguard Small-cap autocorrelation shows the relationship between Vanguard Small-cap mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Vanguard Small Cap Growth.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Vanguard Small-cap financial ratios help investors to determine whether Vanguard Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Vanguard with respect to the benefits of owning Vanguard Small-cap security.
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