VanEck Smart (Germany) Market Value

VSMA Etf   13.41  0.43  3.31%   
VanEck Smart's market value is the price at which a share of VanEck Smart trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of VanEck Smart Contract investors about its performance. VanEck Smart is trading at 13.41 as of the 3rd of December 2024, a 3.31% increase since the beginning of the trading day. The etf's lowest day price was 12.83.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of VanEck Smart Contract and determine expected loss or profit from investing in VanEck Smart over a given investment horizon. Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any etf could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.
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VanEck Smart 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to VanEck Smart's etf what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of VanEck Smart.
0.00
12/14/2022
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 11 months and 22 days
12/03/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in VanEck Smart on December 14, 2022 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding VanEck Smart Contract or generate 0.0% return on investment in VanEck Smart over 720 days.

VanEck Smart Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure VanEck Smart's etf current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess VanEck Smart Contract upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

VanEck Smart Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for VanEck Smart's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as VanEck Smart's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use VanEck Smart historical prices to predict the future VanEck Smart's volatility.

VanEck Smart Contract Backtested Returns

VanEck Smart is somewhat reliable given 3 months investment horizon. VanEck Smart Contract owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of 0.28, which indicates the etf had a 0.28% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We were able to analyze thirty different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate if expected returns of 1.13% are justified by taking the suggested risk. Use VanEck Smart Contract Semi Deviation of 2.4, risk adjusted performance of 0.2141, and Coefficient Of Variation of 370.87 to evaluate company specific risk that cannot be diversified away. The entity has a beta of 0.73, which indicates possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, VanEck Smart's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding VanEck Smart is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.65  

Good predictability

VanEck Smart Contract has good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between VanEck Smart time series from 14th of December 2022 to 9th of December 2023 and 9th of December 2023 to 3rd of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of VanEck Smart Contract price movement. The serial correlation of 0.65 indicates that roughly 65.0% of current VanEck Smart price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.65
Spearman Rank Test0.23
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance2.29

VanEck Smart Contract lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is VanEck Smart etf's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting VanEck Smart's etf expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of VanEck Smart returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that VanEck Smart has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the etf is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

VanEck Smart regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If VanEck Smart etf is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if VanEck Smart etf is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in VanEck Smart etf over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

VanEck Smart Lagged Returns

When evaluating VanEck Smart's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of VanEck Smart etf have on its future price. VanEck Smart autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, VanEck Smart autocorrelation shows the relationship between VanEck Smart etf current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in VanEck Smart Contract.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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