The Victory Bancorp Stock Market Value
| VTYB Stock | USD 18.86 0.21 1.10% |
| Symbol | Victory |
Victory Bancorp 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Victory Bancorp's otc stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Victory Bancorp.
| 12/03/2025 |
| 01/02/2026 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Victory Bancorp on December 3, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding The Victory Bancorp or generate 0.0% return on investment in Victory Bancorp over 30 days. Victory Bancorp is related to or competes with Woodlands Financial, Citizens Holding, First Community, Exchange Bankshares, MF Bancorp, Andover Bancorp, and Community Capital. The Victory Bancorp, Inc. operates as the bank holding company for The Victory Bank that provides commercial and consume... More
Victory Bancorp Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Victory Bancorp's otc stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess The Victory Bancorp upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 0.6455 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.03) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 4.27 | |||
| Value At Risk | (0.94) | |||
| Potential Upside | 0.8413 |
Victory Bancorp Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Victory Bancorp's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Victory Bancorp's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Victory Bancorp historical prices to predict the future Victory Bancorp's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0405 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.0262 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.02) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | (0.03) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.4061 |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Victory Bancorp's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Victory Bancorp Backtested Returns
At this point, Victory Bancorp is very steady. Victory Bancorp owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of 0.0702, which indicates the firm had a 0.0702 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-seven technical indicators for The Victory Bancorp, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the company. Please validate Victory Bancorp's Coefficient Of Variation of 1731.4, semi deviation of 0.4036, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0405 to confirm if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0493%. Victory Bancorp has a performance score of 5 on a scale of 0 to 100. The entity has a beta of 0.0732, which indicates not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Victory Bancorp's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Victory Bancorp is expected to be smaller as well. Victory Bancorp right now has a risk of 0.7%. Please validate Victory Bancorp downside variance, and the relationship between the sortino ratio and daily balance of power , to decide if Victory Bancorp will be following its existing price patterns.
Auto-correlation | 0.10 |
Insignificant predictability
The Victory Bancorp has insignificant predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Victory Bancorp time series from 3rd of December 2025 to 18th of December 2025 and 18th of December 2025 to 2nd of January 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Victory Bancorp price movement. The serial correlation of 0.1 indicates that less than 10.0% of current Victory Bancorp price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.1 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.36 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.01 |
Victory Bancorp lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Victory Bancorp otc stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Victory Bancorp's otc stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Victory Bancorp returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Victory Bancorp has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the otc stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
Victory Bancorp regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Victory Bancorp otc stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Victory Bancorp otc stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Victory Bancorp otc stock over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
Victory Bancorp Lagged Returns
When evaluating Victory Bancorp's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Victory Bancorp otc stock have on its future price. Victory Bancorp autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Victory Bancorp autocorrelation shows the relationship between Victory Bancorp otc stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in The Victory Bancorp.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
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Other Information on Investing in Victory OTC Stock
Victory Bancorp financial ratios help investors to determine whether Victory OTC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Victory with respect to the benefits of owning Victory Bancorp security.