Wells Fargo (Germany) Market Value
| WFC Stock | EUR 92.45 0.85 0.91% |
| Symbol | Wells |
Wells Fargo 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Wells Fargo's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Wells Fargo.
| 06/01/2024 |
| 11/28/2024 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Wells Fargo on June 1, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding West Fraser Timber or generate 0.0% return on investment in Wells Fargo over 180 days. Wells Fargo is related to or competes with Shenandoah Telecommunicatio, SK TELECOM, Cellnex Telecom, and Charter Communications. Ltd. produces and sells lumber, panels, and pulp and paper in western Canada and the southern United States More
Wells Fargo Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Wells Fargo's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess West Fraser Timber upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 1.5 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0974 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 6.29 | |||
| Value At Risk | (2.85) | |||
| Potential Upside | 2.75 |
Wells Fargo Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Wells Fargo's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Wells Fargo's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Wells Fargo historical prices to predict the future Wells Fargo's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1424 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.2405 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.034 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0993 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 1.27 |
West Fraser Timber Backtested Returns
Wells Fargo appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. West Fraser Timber shows Sharpe Ratio of 0.17, which attests that the company had a 0.17% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-seven technical indicators for West Fraser Timber, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the company. Please utilize Wells Fargo's Downside Deviation of 1.5, mean deviation of 1.15, and Market Risk Adjusted Performance of 1.28 to validate if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, Wells Fargo holds a performance score of 13. The firm maintains a market beta of 0.21, which attests to not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Wells Fargo's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Wells Fargo is expected to be smaller as well. Please check Wells Fargo's treynor ratio, value at risk, downside variance, as well as the relationship between the maximum drawdown and potential upside , to make a quick decision on whether Wells Fargo's historical returns will revert.
Auto-correlation | 0.24 |
Weak predictability
West Fraser Timber has weak predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Wells Fargo time series from 1st of June 2024 to 30th of August 2024 and 30th of August 2024 to 28th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of West Fraser Timber price movement. The serial correlation of 0.24 indicates that over 24.0% of current Wells Fargo price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.24 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.22 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 19.31 |
West Fraser Timber lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Wells Fargo stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Wells Fargo's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Wells Fargo returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Wells Fargo has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
Wells Fargo regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Wells Fargo stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Wells Fargo stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Wells Fargo stock over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
Wells Fargo Lagged Returns
When evaluating Wells Fargo's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Wells Fargo stock have on its future price. Wells Fargo autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Wells Fargo autocorrelation shows the relationship between Wells Fargo stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in West Fraser Timber.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis
Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Wells Stock
When determining whether West Fraser Timber is a strong investment it is important to analyze Wells Fargo's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Wells Fargo's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Wells Stock, refer to the following important reports:Check out Wells Fargo Correlation, Wells Fargo Volatility and Wells Fargo Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Wells Fargo. For more detail on how to invest in Wells Stock please use our How to Invest in Wells Fargo guide.You can also try the Alpha Finder module to use alpha and beta coefficients to find investment opportunities after accounting for the risk.
Wells Fargo technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.