Wienerberger (Austria) Market Value

WIE Stock  EUR 26.66  0.16  0.60%   
Wienerberger's market value is the price at which a share of Wienerberger trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Wienerberger AG investors about its performance. Wienerberger is trading at 26.66 as of the 25th of November 2024. This is a 0.60 percent increase since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's open price was 26.5.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Wienerberger AG and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Wienerberger over a given investment horizon. Check out Wienerberger Correlation, Wienerberger Volatility and Wienerberger Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Wienerberger.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Wienerberger's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Wienerberger is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Wienerberger's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Wienerberger 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Wienerberger's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Wienerberger.
0.00
02/29/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 8 months and 28 days
11/25/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Wienerberger on February 29, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Wienerberger AG or generate 0.0% return on investment in Wienerberger over 270 days. Wienerberger is related to or competes with Voestalpine, OMV Aktiengesellscha, VERBUND AG, Andritz AG, and Erste Group. More

Wienerberger Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Wienerberger's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Wienerberger AG upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Wienerberger Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Wienerberger's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Wienerberger's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Wienerberger historical prices to predict the future Wienerberger's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
25.0226.6628.30
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
26.0027.6429.28
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
23.7425.3827.02
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
26.4626.6126.76
Details

Wienerberger AG Backtested Returns

Wienerberger AG shows Sharpe Ratio of -0.1, which attests that the company had a -0.1% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Wienerberger AG exposes twenty-four different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please check out Wienerberger's Mean Deviation of 1.14, market risk adjusted performance of (0.35), and Standard Deviation of 1.63 to validate the risk estimate we provide. The firm maintains a market beta of 0.49, which attests to possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Wienerberger's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Wienerberger is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Wienerberger AG has a negative expected return of -0.17%. Please make sure to check out Wienerberger's kurtosis, and the relationship between the maximum drawdown and day median price , to decide if Wienerberger AG performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.11  

Insignificant reverse predictability

Wienerberger AG has insignificant reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Wienerberger time series from 29th of February 2024 to 13th of July 2024 and 13th of July 2024 to 25th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Wienerberger AG price movement. The serial correlation of -0.11 indicates that less than 11.0% of current Wienerberger price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.11
Spearman Rank Test0.02
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance2.93

Wienerberger AG lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Wienerberger stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Wienerberger's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Wienerberger returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Wienerberger has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Wienerberger regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Wienerberger stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Wienerberger stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Wienerberger stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Wienerberger Lagged Returns

When evaluating Wienerberger's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Wienerberger stock have on its future price. Wienerberger autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Wienerberger autocorrelation shows the relationship between Wienerberger stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Wienerberger AG.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Wienerberger Stock

Wienerberger financial ratios help investors to determine whether Wienerberger Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Wienerberger with respect to the benefits of owning Wienerberger security.