Wir Asia (Indonesia) Market Value

WIRG Stock   95.00  3.00  3.06%   
Wir Asia's market value is the price at which a share of Wir Asia trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Wir Asia Tbk investors about its performance. Wir Asia is selling for 95.00 as of the 25th of November 2024. This is a 3.06 percent down since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's last reported lowest price was 88.0.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Wir Asia Tbk and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Wir Asia over a given investment horizon. Check out Wir Asia Correlation, Wir Asia Volatility and Wir Asia Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Wir Asia.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Wir Asia's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Wir Asia is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Wir Asia's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Wir Asia 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Wir Asia's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Wir Asia.
0.00
10/26/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
11/25/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Wir Asia on October 26, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Wir Asia Tbk or generate 0.0% return on investment in Wir Asia over 30 days. Wir Asia is related to or competes with Multipolar Technology, Digital Mediatama, M Cash, NFC Indonesia, and Kioson Komersial. More

Wir Asia Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Wir Asia's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Wir Asia Tbk upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Wir Asia Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Wir Asia's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Wir Asia's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Wir Asia historical prices to predict the future Wir Asia's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
93.5498.00102.46
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
82.4886.94107.80
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
96.22100.68105.14
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
90.44106.17121.89
Details

Wir Asia Tbk Backtested Returns

Wir Asia appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. Wir Asia Tbk shows Sharpe Ratio of 0.0874, which attests that the company had a 0.0874% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for Wir Asia Tbk, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the company. Please utilize Wir Asia's Market Risk Adjusted Performance of (2.29), mean deviation of 2.89, and Downside Deviation of 2.97 to validate if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, Wir Asia holds a performance score of 6. The firm maintains a market beta of -0.17, which attests to not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Wir Asia are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Wir Asia is likely to outperform the market. Please check Wir Asia's value at risk, downside variance, and the relationship between the maximum drawdown and potential upside , to make a quick decision on whether Wir Asia's historical returns will revert.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.85  

Very good predictability

Wir Asia Tbk has very good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Wir Asia time series from 26th of October 2024 to 10th of November 2024 and 10th of November 2024 to 25th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Wir Asia Tbk price movement. The serial correlation of 0.85 indicates that around 85.0% of current Wir Asia price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.85
Spearman Rank Test0.73
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance59.45

Wir Asia Tbk lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Wir Asia stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Wir Asia's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Wir Asia returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Wir Asia has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Wir Asia regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Wir Asia stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Wir Asia stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Wir Asia stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Wir Asia Lagged Returns

When evaluating Wir Asia's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Wir Asia stock have on its future price. Wir Asia autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Wir Asia autocorrelation shows the relationship between Wir Asia stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Wir Asia Tbk.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Wir Stock

Wir Asia financial ratios help investors to determine whether Wir Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Wir with respect to the benefits of owning Wir Asia security.