Wesmark Government Bond Fund Market Value
| WMBDX Fund | USD 7.87 0.02 0.25% |
| Symbol | Wesmark |
Wesmark Government 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Wesmark Government's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Wesmark Government.
| 08/31/2024 |
| 11/29/2024 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Wesmark Government on August 31, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Wesmark Government Bond or generate 0.0% return on investment in Wesmark Government over 90 days. Wesmark Government is related to or competes with Wesmark Growth, Wesmark Small, Wesmark Balanced, Wesmark West, and Federated International. The fund pursues its investment objective by investing primarily in U.S More
Wesmark Government Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Wesmark Government's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Wesmark Government Bond upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Information Ratio | (0.44) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 1.41 | |||
| Value At Risk | (0.64) | |||
| Potential Upside | 0.5038 |
Wesmark Government Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Wesmark Government's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Wesmark Government's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Wesmark Government historical prices to predict the future Wesmark Government's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.05) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.02) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.07) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.378 |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Wesmark Government's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Wesmark Government Bond Backtested Returns
Wesmark Government Bond shows Sharpe Ratio of -0.0672, which attests that the fund had a -0.0672% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Wesmark Government Bond exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please check out Wesmark Government's Standard Deviation of 0.3202, market risk adjusted performance of 0.388, and Mean Deviation of 0.2339 to validate the risk estimate we provide. The entity maintains a market beta of -0.0707, which attests to not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Wesmark Government are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Wesmark Government is likely to outperform the market.
Auto-correlation | 0.14 |
Insignificant predictability
Wesmark Government Bond has insignificant predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Wesmark Government time series from 31st of August 2024 to 15th of October 2024 and 15th of October 2024 to 29th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Wesmark Government Bond price movement. The serial correlation of 0.14 indicates that less than 14.0% of current Wesmark Government price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.14 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.24 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.0 |
Wesmark Government Bond lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Wesmark Government mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Wesmark Government's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Wesmark Government returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Wesmark Government has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
Wesmark Government regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Wesmark Government mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Wesmark Government mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Wesmark Government mutual fund over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
Wesmark Government Lagged Returns
When evaluating Wesmark Government's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Wesmark Government mutual fund have on its future price. Wesmark Government autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Wesmark Government autocorrelation shows the relationship between Wesmark Government mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Wesmark Government Bond.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.Other Information on Investing in Wesmark Mutual Fund
Wesmark Government financial ratios help investors to determine whether Wesmark Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Wesmark with respect to the benefits of owning Wesmark Government security.
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