William Blair China Fund Market Value

WRCGX Fund  USD 5.15  0.11  2.09%   
William Blair's market value is the price at which a share of William Blair trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of William Blair China investors about its performance. William Blair is trading at 5.15 as of the 24th of November 2024; that is 2.09% down since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 5.26.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of William Blair China and determine expected loss or profit from investing in William Blair over a given investment horizon. Check out William Blair Correlation, William Blair Volatility and William Blair Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on William Blair.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between William Blair's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if William Blair is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, William Blair's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

William Blair 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to William Blair's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of William Blair.
0.00
12/05/2022
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 11 months and 21 days
11/24/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in William Blair on December 5, 2022 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding William Blair China or generate 0.0% return on investment in William Blair over 720 days. William Blair is related to or competes with Jhancock Disciplined, Qs Us, Aqr Large, Goldman Sachs, Touchstone Large, and T Rowe. Under normal circumstances, the fund invests at least 80 percent of its net assets in securities of companies with their... More

William Blair Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure William Blair's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess William Blair China upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

William Blair Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for William Blair's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as William Blair's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use William Blair historical prices to predict the future William Blair's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
3.205.157.10
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
2.814.766.71
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
2.934.896.84
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
5.085.195.29
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as William Blair. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against William Blair's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, William Blair's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in William Blair China.

William Blair China Backtested Returns

At this stage we consider William Mutual Fund to be somewhat reliable. William Blair China shows Sharpe Ratio of 0.0832, which attests that the fund had a 0.0832% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for William Blair China, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the fund. Please check out William Blair's Mean Deviation of 1.36, downside deviation of 1.57, and Market Risk Adjusted Performance of (5.92) to validate if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.16%. The entity maintains a market beta of -0.0189, which attests to not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning William Blair are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, William Blair is likely to outperform the market.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.61  

Very good reverse predictability

William Blair China has very good reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between William Blair time series from 5th of December 2022 to 30th of November 2023 and 30th of November 2023 to 24th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of William Blair China price movement. The serial correlation of -0.61 indicates that roughly 61.0% of current William Blair price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.61
Spearman Rank Test-0.45
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.1

William Blair China lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is William Blair mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting William Blair's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of William Blair returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that William Blair has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

William Blair regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If William Blair mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if William Blair mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in William Blair mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

William Blair Lagged Returns

When evaluating William Blair's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of William Blair mutual fund have on its future price. William Blair autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, William Blair autocorrelation shows the relationship between William Blair mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in William Blair China.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in William Mutual Fund

William Blair financial ratios help investors to determine whether William Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in William with respect to the benefits of owning William Blair security.
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