Wilmington Municipal Bond Fund Market Value

WTABX Fund  USD 12.36  0.01  0.08%   
Wilmington Municipal's market value is the price at which a share of Wilmington Municipal trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Wilmington Municipal Bond investors about its performance. Wilmington Municipal is trading at 12.36 as of the 27th of November 2024; that is 0.08 percent up since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 12.35.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Wilmington Municipal Bond and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Wilmington Municipal over a given investment horizon. Check out Wilmington Municipal Correlation, Wilmington Municipal Volatility and Wilmington Municipal Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Wilmington Municipal.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Wilmington Municipal's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Wilmington Municipal is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Wilmington Municipal's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Wilmington Municipal 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Wilmington Municipal's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Wilmington Municipal.
0.00
10/28/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
11/27/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Wilmington Municipal on October 28, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Wilmington Municipal Bond or generate 0.0% return on investment in Wilmington Municipal over 30 days. Wilmington Municipal is related to or competes with Virtus Convertible, Calamos Dynamic, Rational/pier, Putnam Convertible, and Absolute Convertible. Under normal circumstances, the fund invests at least 80 percent of the value of its net assets in municipal securities ... More

Wilmington Municipal Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Wilmington Municipal's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Wilmington Municipal Bond upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Wilmington Municipal Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Wilmington Municipal's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Wilmington Municipal's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Wilmington Municipal historical prices to predict the future Wilmington Municipal's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.000.20
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.000.20
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
12.1412.3412.54
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
12.3012.3412.37
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Wilmington Municipal. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Wilmington Municipal's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Wilmington Municipal's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Wilmington Municipal Bond.

Wilmington Municipal Bond Backtested Returns

At this stage we consider Wilmington Mutual Fund to be out of control. Wilmington Municipal Bond shows Sharpe Ratio of 0.0387, which attests that the fund had a 0.0387% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for Wilmington Municipal Bond, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the fund. Please check out Wilmington Municipal's Downside Deviation of 0.3213, market risk adjusted performance of 0.0679, and Mean Deviation of 0.1186 to validate if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0078%. The entity maintains a market beta of -0.0632, which attests to not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Wilmington Municipal are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Wilmington Municipal is likely to outperform the market.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.56  

Modest predictability

Wilmington Municipal Bond has modest predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Wilmington Municipal time series from 28th of October 2024 to 12th of November 2024 and 12th of November 2024 to 27th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Wilmington Municipal Bond price movement. The serial correlation of 0.56 indicates that roughly 56.0% of current Wilmington Municipal price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.56
Spearman Rank Test0.52
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.0

Wilmington Municipal Bond lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Wilmington Municipal mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Wilmington Municipal's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Wilmington Municipal returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Wilmington Municipal has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Wilmington Municipal regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Wilmington Municipal mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Wilmington Municipal mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Wilmington Municipal mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Wilmington Municipal Lagged Returns

When evaluating Wilmington Municipal's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Wilmington Municipal mutual fund have on its future price. Wilmington Municipal autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Wilmington Municipal autocorrelation shows the relationship between Wilmington Municipal mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Wilmington Municipal Bond.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Wilmington Mutual Fund

Wilmington Municipal financial ratios help investors to determine whether Wilmington Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Wilmington with respect to the benefits of owning Wilmington Municipal security.
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