Wells Fargo Ultra Fund Market Value
| WUSDX Fund | USD 8.77 0.00 0.00% |
| Symbol | Wells |
Wells Fargo 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Wells Fargo's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Wells Fargo.
| 12/09/2023 |
| 12/03/2024 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Wells Fargo on December 9, 2023 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Wells Fargo Ultra or generate 0.0% return on investment in Wells Fargo over 360 days. Wells Fargo is related to or competes with Calamos Dynamic, Fidelity Sai, Rational/pier, Lord Abbett, Absolute Convertible, and Rationalpier. The fund invests at least 80 percent of its net assets in income-producing debt securities More
Wells Fargo Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Wells Fargo's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Wells Fargo Ultra upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 0.1235 | |||
| Information Ratio | (1.15) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 0.4611 | |||
| Value At Risk | (0.11) | |||
| Potential Upside | 0.1151 |
Wells Fargo Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Wells Fargo's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Wells Fargo's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Wells Fargo historical prices to predict the future Wells Fargo's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0867 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.0111 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | (0.85) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (0.56) |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Wells Fargo's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Wells Fargo Ultra Backtested Returns
At this stage we consider Wells Mutual Fund to be very steady. Wells Fargo Ultra shows Sharpe Ratio of 0.15, which attests that the fund had a 0.15% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-four technical indicators for Wells Fargo Ultra, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the fund. Please check out Wells Fargo's Market Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.55), mean deviation of 0.0556, and Coefficient Of Variation of 476.4 to validate if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0128%. The entity maintains a market beta of -0.0165, which attests to not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Wells Fargo are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Wells Fargo is likely to outperform the market.
Auto-correlation | 0.96 |
Excellent predictability
Wells Fargo Ultra has excellent predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Wells Fargo time series from 9th of December 2023 to 6th of June 2024 and 6th of June 2024 to 3rd of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Wells Fargo Ultra price movement. The serial correlation of 0.96 indicates that 96.0% of current Wells Fargo price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.96 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.98 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.01 |
Wells Fargo Ultra lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Wells Fargo mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Wells Fargo's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Wells Fargo returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Wells Fargo has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
Wells Fargo regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Wells Fargo mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Wells Fargo mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Wells Fargo mutual fund over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
Wells Fargo Lagged Returns
When evaluating Wells Fargo's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Wells Fargo mutual fund have on its future price. Wells Fargo autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Wells Fargo autocorrelation shows the relationship between Wells Fargo mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Wells Fargo Ultra.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.Other Information on Investing in Wells Mutual Fund
Wells Fargo financial ratios help investors to determine whether Wells Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Wells with respect to the benefits of owning Wells Fargo security.
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