Guidewire Software (Germany) Performance
| 0GS Stock | 107.85 1.00 0.94% |
The company retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 0.45, which attests to possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Guidewire Software's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Guidewire Software is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Guidewire Software has a negative expected return of -0.87%. Please make sure to check out Guidewire Software's value at risk, rate of daily change, and the relationship between the total risk alpha and kurtosis , to decide if Guidewire Software performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Weakest
Weak | Strong |
Over the last 90 days Guidewire Software has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of fragile performance in the last few months, the Stock's basic indicators remain comparatively stable which may send shares a bit higher in March 2026. The newest uproar may also be a sign of mid-term up-swing for the firm private investors. ...more
1 | Guidewire Software, Inc. GWRE Shares Sold by New York State Common Retirement Fund - MarketBeat | 12/01/2025 |
2 | DA Davidson Upgrades Guidewire to Buy, Cites Growth Oppor - GuruFocus | 12/17/2025 |
3 | Software Has Been Battered by AI. Shopify, Veeva, and 3 More Stocks to Play a Turnaround. - Barrons | 01/02/2026 |
4 | Does Guidewires New US500 Million Buyback Authorization Change The Bull Case For GWRE - Yahoo Finance Singapore | 01/09/2026 |
5 | Guidewire Software CEO Michael George Rosenbaum Sells 1,200 Shares - MarketBeat | 01/15/2026 |
6 | Traders Purchase High Volume of Call Options on Guidewire Software - MarketBeat | 01/21/2026 |
7 | Guidewire software CEO Rosenbaum sells 192k in shares - Investing.com | 01/26/2026 |
8 | Brown Capital Management LLC Has 95.22 Million Stake in Guidewire Software, Inc. GWRE - MarketBeat | 02/03/2026 |
9 | Guidewire Sets to Capture 30-50 percent Market Share in the PC Insurance Industry - Insider Monkey | 02/06/2026 |
| Begin Period Cash Flow | 549.2 M | |
| Free Cash Flow | 280.4 M |
Guidewire |
Guidewire Software Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you would invest 18,815 in Guidewire Software on November 9, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (8,030) from holding Guidewire Software or give up 42.68% of portfolio value over 90 days. Guidewire Software is generating negative expected returns and assumes 2.9045% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. Simply put, 26% of stocks are less volatile than Guidewire, and 99% of all equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns than the company over the next 90 trading days. Expected Return |
| Risk |
Guidewire Software Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price
The tendency of Guidewire Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 107.85 | 90 days | 107.85 | about 99.0 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Guidewire Software to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 99.0 (This Guidewire Software probability density function shows the probability of Guidewire Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Guidewire Software Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Guidewire Software
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Guidewire Software. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Guidewire Software's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Guidewire Software Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Guidewire Software is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Guidewire Software's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Guidewire Software, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Guidewire Software within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.95 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.45 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 25.35 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.35 |
Guidewire Software Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Guidewire Software for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Guidewire Software can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Guidewire Software generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Guidewire Software is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Guidewire Sets to Capture 30-50 percent Market Share in the PC Insurance Industry - Insider Monkey |
Guidewire Software Fundamentals Growth
Guidewire Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Guidewire Software, and Guidewire Software fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Guidewire Stock performance.
| Current Valuation | 8.82 B | |||
| Price To Book | 6.99 X | |||
| Price To Sales | 8.53 X | |||
| Revenue | 1.2 B | |||
| EBITDA | (176.73 M) | |||
| Net Income | 69.8 M | |||
| Total Debt | 1.26 B | |||
| Cash Flow From Operations | 300.87 M | |||
| Total Asset | 2.72 B | |||
| Retained Earnings | (554.25 M) | |||
About Guidewire Software Performance
Assessing Guidewire Software's fundamental ratios provides investors with valuable insights into Guidewire Software's financial health and overall profitability. This information is crucial for making informed investment decisions. A high ROA would indicate that the Guidewire Software is effectively leveraging its assets and equity to generate significant profits, making it an appealing investment. Conversely, low Return on Assets could signal underlying management issues in assets and equity, indicating a necessity for operational refinements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
Guidewire Software is entity of Germany. It is traded as Stock on STU exchange.Things to note about Guidewire Software performance evaluation
Checking the ongoing alerts about Guidewire Software for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Guidewire Software help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Guidewire Software generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Guidewire Software is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Guidewire Sets to Capture 30-50 percent Market Share in the PC Insurance Industry - Insider Monkey |
- Analyzing Guidewire Software's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
- Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Guidewire Software's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
- Examining Guidewire Software's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
- Evaluating Guidewire Software's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Guidewire Software's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
- Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Guidewire Software's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Guidewire Software's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
Additional Tools for Guidewire Stock Analysis
When running Guidewire Software's price analysis, check to measure Guidewire Software's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Guidewire Software is operating at the current time. Most of Guidewire Software's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Guidewire Software's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Guidewire Software's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Guidewire Software to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.