Automatic Data (UK) Performance

0HJI Stock   250.63  3.30  1.30%   
The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.13, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Automatic Data's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Automatic Data is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Automatic Data Processing has a negative expected return of -0.0521%. Please make sure to confirm Automatic Data's maximum drawdown, potential upside, and the relationship between the treynor ratio and value at risk , to decide if Automatic Data Processing performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Automatic Data Processing has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of comparatively stable basic indicators, Automatic Data is not utilizing all of its potentials. The newest stock price uproar, may contribute to short-horizon losses for the private investors. ...more
Forward Dividend Yield
0.0002
Payout Ratio
0.8926
1
DBS Reaffirms Their Hold Rating on Automatic Data Processing - The Globe and Mail
11/11/2025
2
Is Now the Right Moment for ADP Shares After a 2.1 percent Weekly Rebound - Yahoo Finance
12/01/2025
3
Automatic Data Processing An Undervalued Stock For Long-Term Dividend Growth Investors - Seeking Alpha
12/08/2025
4
January 2026 Options Now Available For Automatic Data Processing - Nasdaq
12/11/2025
5
Automatic Data Processing, Inc. ADP Stock Holdings Lessened by Texas Permanent School Fund Corp - MarketBeat
12/16/2025
6
Automatic Data Processing, Inc. ADP Stake Trimmed by Argent Capital Management LLC - MarketBeat
12/23/2025
7
ADP at the Crossroads A Deep-Dive into the Dividend King Trading Near 52-Week Lows - FinancialContent
01/02/2026
8
February 27th Options Now Available For Automatic Data Processing - Nasdaq
01/08/2026
9
Automatic Data Processing, Inc. A Bull Case Theory - Insider Monkey
01/15/2026
10
ADP Fiscal Q2 Earnings Snapshot - kare11.com
01/28/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow10.1 B
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-3 B
  

Automatic Data Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  25,974  in Automatic Data Processing on October 31, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (911.00) from holding Automatic Data Processing or give up 3.51% of portfolio value over 90 days. Automatic Data Processing is generating negative expected returns and assumes 1.1373% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. Simply put, 10% of stocks are less volatile than Automatic, and 99% of all equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns than the company over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Automatic Data is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 1.51 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.05 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.07 per unit of volatility.

Automatic Data Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Automatic Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 250.63 90 days 250.63 
about 86.92
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Automatic Data to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 86.92 (This Automatic Data Processing probability density function shows the probability of Automatic Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Automatic Data has a beta of 0.13. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Automatic Data average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Automatic Data Processing will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Automatic Data Processing has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Automatic Data Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Automatic Data

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Automatic Data Processing. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
249.50250.63251.76
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
216.92218.05275.69
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
249.75250.88252.00
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
251.41258.71266.01
Details

Automatic Data Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Automatic Data is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Automatic Data's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Automatic Data Processing, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Automatic Data within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.18
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.13
σ
Overall volatility
6.53
Ir
Information ratio -0.17

Automatic Data Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Automatic Data for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Automatic Data Processing can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Automatic Data generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Automatic Data is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Over 87.0% of the company shares are owned by institutions such as pension funds
Latest headline from news.google.com: ADP Fiscal Q2 Earnings Snapshot - kare11.com

Automatic Data Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Automatic Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Automatic Data's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Automatic Data's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding408.7 M
Cash And Short Term Investments7.8 B

Automatic Data Fundamentals Growth

Automatic Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Automatic Data, and Automatic Data fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Automatic Stock performance.

About Automatic Data Performance

Assessing Automatic Data's fundamental ratios provides investors with valuable insights into Automatic Data's financial health and overall profitability. This information is crucial for making informed investment decisions. A high ROA would indicate that the Automatic Data is effectively leveraging its assets and equity to generate significant profits, making it an appealing investment. Conversely, low Return on Assets could signal underlying management issues in assets and equity, indicating a necessity for operational refinements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
Automatic Data is entity of United Kingdom. It is traded as Stock on LSE exchange.

Things to note about Automatic Data Processing performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Automatic Data for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Automatic Data Processing help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Automatic Data generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Automatic Data is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Over 87.0% of the company shares are owned by institutions such as pension funds
Latest headline from news.google.com: ADP Fiscal Q2 Earnings Snapshot - kare11.com
Evaluating Automatic Data's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Automatic Data's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Automatic Data's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Automatic Data's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Automatic Data's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Automatic Data's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Automatic Data's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Automatic Data's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Automatic Data's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Automatic Data's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Automatic Data's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Additional Tools for Automatic Stock Analysis

When running Automatic Data's price analysis, check to measure Automatic Data's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Automatic Data is operating at the current time. Most of Automatic Data's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Automatic Data's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Automatic Data's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Automatic Data to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.