Amazon (UK) Performance

0R1O Stock   210.40  -4.81  -2.24%   
The firm maintains a market beta of 0.85, which implies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Amazon's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Amazon is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Amazon Inc has a negative expected return of -0.11%. Please make sure to verify Amazon's coefficient of variation, standard deviation, and the relationship between the mean deviation and jensen alpha , to decide if Amazon Inc performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Weak
 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days, Amazon Inc generated negative risk-adjusted returns and added little value for investors with long positions. The result matters because weak risk-adjusted return can persist even when isolated price moves briefly look constructive. In spite of latest uncertain performance, the Stock's basic indicators remain stable and the newest uproar on Wall Street may also be a sign of mid-term gains for the firm private investors. ...more
 Last Split Factor
20:1
 Last Split Date
2022-06-06
1
Prediction Amazon Stock Will Have a Monster 2026 - Yahoo Finance
12/10/2025
2
Amazon Isnt Behind. Its Reloading For Its AI Wave - Seeking Alpha
12/16/2025
3
What to Expect From Amazon in the 4 Weeks Before Earnings - MarketBeat
12/31/2025
4
What Could Rocket Amazon.com Stock to New Heights - Trefis
01/12/2026
5
Amazon vs. Oracle Which Cloud Computing Stock is the Better Buy Now - TradingView Track All Markets
01/16/2026
6
Amazon.com, Inc. Is a Trending Stock Facts to Know Before Betting on It - Yahoo Finance
01/30/2026
7
Amazon earnings preview the number AWS must beat for AMZN stock to rally - TradingView
02/04/2026
8
Amazon.com Stock Is Falling Again. This Is Its Worst Run Since 2022. - Barrons
02/11/2026
  

Amazon Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest 22,817 in Amazon Inc on December 9, 2025 and sell it today you would lose -1,777 from holding Amazon Inc or give up 7.79% of portfolio value over 90 days. Amazon Inc is generating negative expected returns and assumes 2.0349% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. Simply put, 18% of stocks are less volatile than Amazon, and 99% of all equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns than the company over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
This market-relative note looks at return potential and the amount of risk required to get it. It highlights whether the current reward profile compensates for the level of uncertainty assumed. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Amazon is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 2.55 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.06 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.01 per unit of volatility.

Amazon Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Amazon Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
210.40 90 days 210.40
about 86.28
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Amazon to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 86.28 (This Amazon Inc probability density function shows the probability of Amazon Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Amazon has a beta of 0.85. This suggests Amazon Inc market returns are related to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Amazon is expected to follow. Additionally Amazon Inc has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Amazon Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Amazon

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Amazon Inc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Mean reversion in Amazon's is more reliable over longer time horizons. Short-term deviations can persist and even widen before correcting, making position sizing and risk management critical.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
213.19215.21217.23
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
182.07184.09236.73
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
223.34225.36227.38
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
194.00209.53225.06
Details
Effective investment decisions about Amazon require competitive context. Benchmarking Amazon's against peers on earnings quality, growth consistency, and balance sheet strength can materially change the investment conclusion.

Amazon Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Amazon is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Amazon's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Amazon Inc, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Amazon within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.1227
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.85
σ
Overall volatility
13.98
Ir
Information ratio -0.0627

Amazon Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Amazon for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Amazon Inc can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Amazon Inc generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 67.0% of the company shares are owned by institutions such as pension funds
Latest headline from news.google.com: Amazon.com Stock Is Falling Again. This Is Its Worst Run Since 2022. - Barrons

Amazon Fundamentals Growth

Amazon Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Amazon, and Amazon fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Amazon Stock performance.

Amazon Inc Alpha and Drawdown Context

Amazon performance is measured on a risk-adjusted basis against benchmarks. Liquidity conditions can influence realized performance through spreads and execution cost. Amazon is assessed in terms of its structural contribution to portfolio diversification and long-term stability.

Methodology

Unless otherwise specified, financial data for Amazon Inc is derived from periodic company reporting (annual and quarterly where available). Asset-level metrics are computed daily by Macroaxis LLC and refreshed regularly based on asset type. Amazon (GB:0R1O) prices are typically delayed by approximately 20 minutes from primary exchanges for listed equities. Data may be delayed depending on reporting sources and market conventions Return metrics, performance scores, and risk-adjusted figures shown here are computed from historical price series.

Assumptions

We primarily rely on public filings and market reference sources, including disclosures published by UK Financial Conduct Authority (FCA). Data is normalized for analytical consistency across reporting formats. All analytics are generated using standardized, rules-based models designed to promote consistency and comparability across instruments. Model assumptions, reference parameters, and selected computational inputs are available in the Model Inputs section. If you have questions about our data sources or methodology, please contact Macroaxis Support.

Analyst Sources

Amazon Inc may have analyst coverage included in Macroaxis-derived consensus inputs when available. Updates may occur throughout the day.

Things to note about Amazon Inc performance evaluation

Automated alerts tied to Amazon Inc help investors surface material conditions that may support or challenge the current thesis before they become expensive mistakes. In practice, the value comes from seeing which signals are new, which are persistent, and which are strong enough to justify action.
Amazon Inc generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 67.0% of the company shares are owned by institutions such as pension funds
Latest headline from news.google.com: Amazon.com Stock Is Falling Again. This Is Its Worst Run Since 2022. - Barrons
Evaluating Amazon's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Amazon's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Amazon's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Amazon's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Amazon's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Amazon's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Amazon's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Amazon's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Amazon's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Amazon's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Amazon's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

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