Cerence (Germany) Performance
| 0S6 Stock | EUR 6.09 0.41 6.31% |
The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.89, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As the market becomes more bullish, returns on owning Cerence are expected to decrease slowly. On the other hand, during market turmoil, Cerence is expected to outperform it slightly. At this point, Cerence has a negative expected return of -0.51%. Please make sure to confirm Cerence's coefficient of variation, jensen alpha, sortino ratio, as well as the relationship between the standard deviation and total risk alpha , to decide if Cerence performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Weakest
Weak | Strong |
Over the last 90 days Cerence has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite fragile performance in the last few months, the Stock's basic indicators remain nearly stable which may send shares a bit higher in March 2026. The current disturbance may also be a sign of long-run up-swing for the company stockholders. ...more
1 | Will Cerence Inc. stock continue dividend increases - July 2025 Trends Intraday High Probability Alerts - Newser | 12/04/2025 |
2 | Legal Chief for AI Auto Tech Company Cerence Drives Home Big Pay Boost - Law.com | 01/02/2026 |
3 | Cerence Has More To Do To Multiply In Value Going Forward - Yahoo Finance | 01/08/2026 |
4 | Aug Spikes Will Cerence Inc stock outperform Dow Jones index - 2025 Volume Leaders AI Driven Stock Reports - moha.gov.vn | 01/13/2026 |
5 | Cerence announces repurchase of 30M of convertible senior notes - MSN | 01/23/2026 |
6 | Cerence Q1 Earnings and Revenues Surpass Estimates - Yahoo Finance UK | 02/04/2026 |
7 | Cerence Sees Initial Wins With xUI Platform But Im Skeptical Of Durability - Seeking Alpha | 02/23/2026 |
Cerence |
Cerence Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you would invest 884.00 in Cerence on November 27, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (275.00) from holding Cerence or give up 31.11% of portfolio value over 90 days. Cerence is currently producing negative expected returns and takes up 4.6748% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 42% of traded stocks are less volatile than Cerence, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days. Expected Return |
| Risk |
Cerence Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price
The tendency of Cerence Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 6.09 | 90 days | 6.09 | about 98.0 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Cerence to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 98.0 (This Cerence probability density function shows the probability of Cerence Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Cerence Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Cerence
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Cerence. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Cerence Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Cerence is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Cerence's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Cerence, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Cerence within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.14 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.89 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.34 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.0044 |
Cerence Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Cerence for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Cerence can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Cerence generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Cerence has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Cerence has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 251.78 M. Net Loss for the year was (18.71 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 249.41 M. | |
| Over 80.0% of the company shares are owned by institutions such as pension funds | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Cerence Sees Initial Wins With xUI Platform But Im Skeptical Of Durability - Seeking Alpha |
Cerence Fundamentals Growth
Cerence Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Cerence, and Cerence fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Cerence Stock performance.
| Return On Equity | 0.0025 | ||||
| Return On Asset | 0.0575 | ||||
| Profit Margin | 0 % | ||||
| Operating Margin | 0.32 % | ||||
| Current Valuation | 608.42 M | ||||
| Shares Outstanding | 45.02 M | ||||
| Price To Book | 3.40 X | ||||
| Price To Sales | 0.87 X | ||||
| Revenue | 251.78 M | ||||
| Gross Profit | 249.41 M | ||||
| EBITDA | 63.39 M | ||||
| Net Income | (18.71 M) | ||||
| Total Debt | 479.92 M | ||||
| Book Value Per Share | 2.83 X | ||||
| Cash Flow From Operations | 61.17 M | ||||
| Earnings Per Share | 0.02 X | ||||
| Market Capitalization | 274.16 M | ||||
| Total Asset | 630.59 M | ||||
| Retained Earnings | (940.45 M) | ||||
| Working Capital | 89.57 M | ||||
About Cerence Performance
By analyzing Cerence's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Cerence's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Cerence has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Cerence has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Days Of Inventory On Hand | 22.55 | 20.05 | |
| Return On Tangible Assets | (0.06) | (0.07) | |
| Return On Capital Employed | 0.03 | 0.04 | |
| Return On Assets | (0.03) | (0.04) | |
| Return On Equity | (0.14) | (0.15) |
Things to note about Cerence performance evaluation
Checking the ongoing alerts about Cerence for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Cerence help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Cerence generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Cerence has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Cerence has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 251.78 M. Net Loss for the year was (18.71 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 249.41 M. | |
| Over 80.0% of the company shares are owned by institutions such as pension funds | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Cerence Sees Initial Wins With xUI Platform But Im Skeptical Of Durability - Seeking Alpha |
- Analyzing Cerence's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
- Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Cerence's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
- Examining Cerence's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
- Evaluating Cerence's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Cerence's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
- Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Cerence's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Cerence's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
Complementary Tools for Cerence Stock analysis
When running Cerence's price analysis, check to measure Cerence's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Cerence is operating at the current time. Most of Cerence's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Cerence's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Cerence's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Cerence to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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