Cerence (Germany) Performance

0S6 Stock  EUR 9.19  0.14  1.50%   
On a scale of 0 to 100, Cerence holds a performance score of 4. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 1.68, which signifies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Cerence will likely underperform. Please check Cerence's coefficient of variation, jensen alpha, sortino ratio, as well as the relationship between the standard deviation and total risk alpha , to make a quick decision on whether Cerence's price patterns will revert.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Soft

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Cerence are ranked lower than 4 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite nearly fragile basic indicators, Cerence reported solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more
1
How Cerence Inc. stock compares to industry benchmarks - Fed Meeting Risk Managed Investment Strategies - newser.com
11/07/2025
2
Lacklustre Performance Is Driving Cerence Inc.s 35 percent Price Drop -
11/14/2025
3
Jim Cramer on Cerence Im Not Touching It - Insider Monkey
11/17/2025
4
Stocks To Watch Cerence Sees Relative Strength Rating Rise To 83 - Investors Business Daily
11/20/2025
5
Stocks With Rising Relative Strength Cerence - Investors Business Daily
01/09/2026
6
IBD rating upgrades Cerence shows improved relative price strength - MSN
01/15/2026
7
How The Narrative Around Cerence Is Shifting With New Analyst Price Targets - Yahoo Finance
01/27/2026
  

Cerence Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  829.00  in Cerence on November 6, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  90.00  from holding Cerence or generate 10.86% return on investment over 90 days. Cerence is currently producing 0.3459% returns and takes up 6.2001% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 55% of traded stocks are less volatile than Cerence, and 94% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days horizon Cerence is expected to generate 8.25 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 8.25 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.06 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.11 per unit of risk.

Cerence Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Cerence Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 9.19 90 days 9.19 
about 50.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Cerence to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 50.0 (This Cerence probability density function shows the probability of Cerence Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.68 . This suggests as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Cerence will likely underperform. Additionally Cerence has an alpha of 0.0453, implying that it can generate a 0.0453 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Cerence Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Cerence

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Cerence. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
3.109.3015.50
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
1.327.5213.72
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
2.178.3714.57
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
8.789.7210.66
Details

Cerence Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Cerence is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Cerence's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Cerence, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Cerence within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.05
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.68
σ
Overall volatility
0.96
Ir
Information ratio 0.01

Cerence Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Cerence for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Cerence can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Cerence had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Cerence has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
The company reported the revenue of 251.78 M. Net Loss for the year was (18.71 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 183.14 M.
About 69.0% of the company shares are owned by institutions such as pension funds
Latest headline from news.google.com: How The Narrative Around Cerence Is Shifting With New Analyst Price Targets - Yahoo Finance

Cerence Fundamentals Growth

Cerence Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Cerence, and Cerence fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Cerence Stock performance.

About Cerence Performance

By analyzing Cerence's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Cerence's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Cerence has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Cerence has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 22.55  20.05 
Return On Tangible Assets(0.06)(0.07)
Return On Capital Employed 0.03  0.04 
Return On Assets(0.03)(0.04)
Return On Equity(0.14)(0.15)

Things to note about Cerence performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Cerence for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Cerence help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Cerence had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Cerence has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
The company reported the revenue of 251.78 M. Net Loss for the year was (18.71 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 183.14 M.
About 69.0% of the company shares are owned by institutions such as pension funds
Latest headline from news.google.com: How The Narrative Around Cerence Is Shifting With New Analyst Price Targets - Yahoo Finance
Evaluating Cerence's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Cerence's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Cerence's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Cerence's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Cerence's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Cerence's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Cerence's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Cerence's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Cerence's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Cerence's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Cerence's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Complementary Tools for Cerence Stock analysis

When running Cerence's price analysis, check to measure Cerence's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Cerence is operating at the current time. Most of Cerence's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Cerence's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Cerence's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Cerence to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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