Grape King (Taiwan) Performance

1707 Stock  TWD 121.50  3.00  2.53%   
The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of -0.0452, which alludes to relatively modest fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on Grape King tend to move in the opposite direction, though by a smaller magnitude. During a bear market, however, Grape King is likely to outperform the market. At this point, Grape King Bio has a negative expected return of -0.0864%. Please make sure to confirm Grape King's coefficient of variation, standard deviation, and the relationship between the mean deviation and jensen alpha, to decide if Grape King Bio's performance from the past will be repeated in the future.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Weak
 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days, Grape King Bio generated negative risk-adjusted returns and added little value for investors with long positions. The result matters because weak risk-adjusted return can persist even when isolated price moves briefly look constructive. In spite of fairly stable basic indicators, Grape King is not utilizing all of its potential. The latest price fuss may contribute to near-short-term losses for sophisticated investors. Learn More
Begin Period Cash Flow2.9 B
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-462.3 M
  

Grape King Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you had invested NT$ 12,750 in Grape King Bio on December 12, 2025 and sold it today you would have lost NT$ 600.00 from holding Grape King Bio or given up 4.71% of portfolio value over 90 days. Grape King Bio is generating negative expected returns and shows 0.7537% volatility on return distribution over a 90-day horizon. Simply put, 6% of stocks are less volatile than Grape, and 99% of all equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns than the company over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
This relative risk-return summary reviews how the instrument behaves against its benchmark. It keeps the emphasis on benchmark context, not just standalone performance. Assuming the 90-day trading horizon Grape King is expected to under-perform the market. But it appears to be less risky and when comparing its historical volatility, the company is 1.03 times less risky than the market. the firm trades about -0.11 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly -0.04 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon.

Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The pattern of price mean reversion for Grape Stock is a well-established feature of organized markets. While this tendency forms the basis of many forecasting approaches, persistent mispricings in certain stocks indicate that additional risk factors influence how quickly prices converge to fair value.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds moving above the current price in 90 days
121.50 90 days 121.50
about 83.97
Statistical probability analysis shows the odds of Grape King moving above the current price in 90 days from now are about 83.97 (The probability density chart for Grape King Bio illustrates the range of expected prices for Grape Stock over 90 days).
Assuming the 90-day trading horizon Grape King Bio has a beta of -0.0452. This suggests that as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on Grape King tend to move in the opposite direction, though by a smaller magnitude. During a bear market, however, Grape King Bio is likely to outperform the market. Additionally, Grape King Bio has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Grape King Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Grape King

The stock market offers numerous forecasting challenges and techniques. For instruments like Grape King Bio, applying diverse models and cross-checking their predictions is a practical approach to managing uncertainty. While no method eliminates market risk, disciplined forecasting strengthens overall investment analysis.
The mean reversion tendency in Grape King's price is a well-documented phenomenon that disciplined investors can exploit by identifying when price has diverged substantially from fundamental and historical anchors.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
120.75121.50122.25
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
109.35122.88123.63
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
117.72118.47119.22
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
119.23121.73124.23
Details
Comparing Grape King against its competitive peer group transforms raw financial data into actionable insight. Grape King's standing on returns, margins, and growth relative to competitors is the ultimate test of its investment merit.

Primary Risk Indicators

The last 10-20 years have been a volatile period for the stock market, and Grape King has not been immune. Large corrections and rallies have tested many portfolios. Investors holding Grape King Bio can limit downside exposure by monitoring Grape King's volatility and market elasticity within the framework of fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.0991
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.0452
σ
Overall volatility
2.94
Ir
Information ratio -0.1083

Grape King Alerts and Suggestions

Alert notifications for Grape King provide investors with timely updates on significant stock developments. Reviewing Grape King Bio alerts regularly helps investors respond to changes in technical indicators and fundamental conditions that could affect investment outcomes.
Grape King Bio generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Grape King Bio has accumulated TWD87.38 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 19.8, indicating Grape King Bio may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Grape King Bio has a current ratio of 0.88, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Grape King until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Grape King's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Grape King Bio sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Grape to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Grape King's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
About 20.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Grape King Fundamentals Growth

Investors pricing Grape Stock focus on Grape King's core financial fundamentals. Earnings growth, revenue trends, profit margins, and debt management are the factors most likely to influence Grape Stock performance over time.

About Grape King Performance Analysis

Grape King performance is measured on a risk-adjusted basis against benchmarks. Performance quality is influenced by volatility discipline and regime stability. Grape King shows ROE of 20.96%, ROA of 11.72%.

Unless otherwise specified, financial data for Grape King Bio is derived from periodic company reporting (annual and quarterly where available). Asset-level metrics are computed daily by Macroaxis LLC and refreshed regularly based on asset type. Updates may occur throughout the day.