Rectron (Taiwan) Performance

2302 Stock  TWD 18.15  0.50  2.68%   
The company holds a Beta of -0.17, which implies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Rectron are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Rectron is likely to outperform the market. At this point, Rectron has a negative expected return of -0.0582%. Please make sure to check Rectron's mean deviation, standard deviation, total risk alpha, as well as the relationship between the coefficient of variation and jensen alpha , to decide if Rectron performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Rectron has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of fairly stable basic indicators, Rectron is not utilizing all of its potentials. The latest stock price fuss, may contribute to near-short-term losses for the sophisticated investors. ...more
Begin Period Cash Flow296.7 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-81.9 M
  

Rectron Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  1,900  in Rectron on December 4, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (85.00) from holding Rectron or give up 4.47% of portfolio value over 90 days. Rectron is generating negative expected returns and assumes 2.3342% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. Simply put, 20% of stocks are less volatile than Rectron, and 99% of all equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns than the company over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Rectron is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 3.05 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.02 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.03 per unit of volatility.

Rectron Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Rectron Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 18.15 90 days 18.15 
about 68.81
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Rectron to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 68.81 (This Rectron probability density function shows the probability of Rectron Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Rectron has a beta of -0.17. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Rectron are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Rectron is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Rectron has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Rectron Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Rectron

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Rectron. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
15.8218.1520.48
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
13.4215.7519.97
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
16.7019.0321.37
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
8.3218.3218.82
Details

Rectron Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Rectron is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Rectron's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Rectron, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Rectron within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.02
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.17
σ
Overall volatility
1.04
Ir
Information ratio -0.03

Rectron Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Rectron for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Rectron can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Rectron generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 62.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Rectron Fundamentals Growth

Rectron Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Rectron, and Rectron fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Rectron Stock performance.

About Rectron Performance

Evaluating Rectron's performance through its fundamental ratios, provides valuable insights into its operational efficiency and profitability. For instance, if Rectron has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Rectron has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
Rectron Limited manufactures and sells discrete semiconductors in Taiwan and internationally. Rectron Limited was founded in 1976 and is based in New Taipei City, Taiwan. RECTRON operates under Semiconductor Equipment Materials classification in Taiwan and is traded on Taiwan Stock Exchange.

Things to note about Rectron performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Rectron for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Rectron help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Rectron generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 62.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees
Evaluating Rectron's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Rectron's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Rectron's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Rectron's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Rectron's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Rectron's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Rectron's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Rectron's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Rectron's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Rectron's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Rectron's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Additional Tools for Rectron Stock Analysis

When running Rectron's price analysis, check to measure Rectron's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Rectron is operating at the current time. Most of Rectron's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Rectron's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Rectron's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Rectron to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.