China Development (Taiwan) Performance

2883 Stock  TWD 21.95  1.05  5.02%   
On a scale of 0 to 100, China Development holds a performance score of 33. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.26, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning China Development are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, China Development is likely to outperform the market. Please check China Development's downside deviation, standard deviation, and the relationship between the semi deviation and coefficient of variation , to make a quick decision on whether China Development's price patterns will revert.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

High

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in China Development Financial are ranked lower than 33 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly abnormal basic indicators, China Development showed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more
Begin Period Cash Flow190.3 B
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-7.3 B
  

China Development Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  1,565  in China Development Financial on November 30, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  630.00  from holding China Development Financial or generate 40.26% return on investment over 90 days. China Development Financial is generating 0.6163% of daily returns and assumes 1.4737% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. Simply put, 13% of stocks are less volatile than China, and 88% of all equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns than the company over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon China Development is expected to generate 1.94 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 1.94 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.42 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.08 per unit of risk.

China Development Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of China Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 21.95 90 days 21.95 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of China Development to move above the current price in 90 days from now is near 1 (This China Development Financial probability density function shows the probability of China Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon China Development Financial has a beta of -0.26. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding China Development are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, China Development Financial is likely to outperform the market. Additionally China Development Financial has an alpha of 0.5019, implying that it can generate a 0.5 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   China Development Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for China Development

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as China Development. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
20.4721.9523.43
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
18.8620.3424.15
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
21.3422.8324.31
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
-35.8820.1822.98
Details

China Development Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. China Development is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the China Development's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold China Development Financial, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of China Development within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.50
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.26
σ
Overall volatility
1.37
Ir
Information ratio 0.27

China Development Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of China Development for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for China Development can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
China is showing solid risk-adjusted performance over 90 days

China Development Fundamentals Growth

China Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of China Development, and China Development fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on China Stock performance.

About China Development Performance

Evaluating China Development's performance through its fundamental ratios, provides valuable insights into its operational efficiency and profitability. For instance, if China Development has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if China Development has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
China Development Financial Holding Corporation provides insurance, commercial banking, securities, and venture capital in Taiwan and internationally. China Development Financial Holding Corporation was founded in 1959 and is headquartered in Taipei, Taiwan. CHINA DEVELOPMENT operates under Asset Management classification in Taiwan and is traded on Taiwan Stock Exchange. It employs 12597 people.

Things to note about China Development performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about China Development for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for China Development help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
China is showing solid risk-adjusted performance over 90 days
Evaluating China Development's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate China Development's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing China Development's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether China Development's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining China Development's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating China Development's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of China Development's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of China Development's stock. These opinions can provide insight into China Development's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating China Development's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact China Development's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Additional Tools for China Stock Analysis

When running China Development's price analysis, check to measure China Development's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy China Development is operating at the current time. Most of China Development's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of China Development's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move China Development's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of China Development to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.