Controladora Vuela (Germany) Performance

2CDA Stock  EUR 8.10  0.65  8.72%   
On a scale of 0 to 100, Controladora Vuela holds a performance score of 11. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.31, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Controladora Vuela's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Controladora Vuela is expected to be smaller as well. Please check Controladora Vuela's information ratio, total risk alpha, and the relationship between the coefficient of variation and jensen alpha , to make a quick decision on whether Controladora Vuela's price patterns will revert.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Good

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Controladora Vuela Compaa are ranked lower than 11 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite nearly fragile fundamental indicators, Controladora Vuela reported solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more
  

Controladora Vuela Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  620.00  in Controladora Vuela Compaa on October 28, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  190.00  from holding Controladora Vuela Compaa or generate 30.65% return on investment over 90 days. Controladora Vuela Compaa is generating 0.5024% of daily returns assuming 3.4035% volatility of returns over the 90 days investment horizon. Simply put, 30% of all stocks have less volatile historical return distribution than Controladora Vuela, and 90% of all equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns than the company over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Controladora Vuela is expected to generate 4.62 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 4.62 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.15 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.07 per unit of risk.

Controladora Vuela Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Controladora Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 8.10 90 days 8.10 
under 4
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Controladora Vuela to move above the current price in 90 days from now is under 4 (This Controladora Vuela Compaa probability density function shows the probability of Controladora Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Controladora Vuela has a beta of 0.31. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Controladora Vuela average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Controladora Vuela Compaa will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Controladora Vuela Compaa has an alpha of 0.4945, implying that it can generate a 0.49 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Controladora Vuela Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Controladora Vuela

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Controladora Vuela Compaa. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
4.708.1011.50
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
4.007.4010.80
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
4.357.7611.16
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
6.847.598.34
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Controladora Vuela. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Controladora Vuela's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Controladora Vuela's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Controladora Vuela Compaa.

Controladora Vuela Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Controladora Vuela is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Controladora Vuela's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Controladora Vuela Compaa, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Controladora Vuela within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.49
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.31
σ
Overall volatility
0.89
Ir
Information ratio 0.13

Controladora Vuela Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Controladora Vuela for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Controladora Vuela Compaa can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Controladora Vuela appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Controladora Vuela Compaa has accumulated 161 M in total debt. Controladora Vuela Compaa has a current ratio of 0.7, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Controladora Vuela until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Controladora Vuela's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Controladora Vuela Compaa sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Controladora to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Controladora Vuela's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
The entity reported the revenue of 2.85 B. Net Loss for the year was (30 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 663 M.

Controladora Vuela Fundamentals Growth

Controladora Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Controladora Vuela, and Controladora Vuela fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Controladora Stock performance.

About Controladora Vuela Performance

By analyzing Controladora Vuela's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Controladora Vuela's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Controladora Vuela has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Controladora Vuela has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
Controladora Vuela Compaa de Aviacin, S.A.B. de C.V. provides air transportation services for passengers, cargo, and mail in Mexico and internationally. Controladora Vuela Compaa de Aviacin, S.A.B. de C.V. was founded in 2005 and is headquartered in Mexico City, Mexico. CONTR VUEL operates under Airlines classification in Germany and is traded on Frankfurt Stock Exchange. It employs 4748 people.

Things to note about Controladora Vuela Compaa performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Controladora Vuela for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Controladora Vuela Compaa help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Controladora Vuela appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Controladora Vuela Compaa has accumulated 161 M in total debt. Controladora Vuela Compaa has a current ratio of 0.7, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Controladora Vuela until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Controladora Vuela's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Controladora Vuela Compaa sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Controladora to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Controladora Vuela's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
The entity reported the revenue of 2.85 B. Net Loss for the year was (30 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 663 M.
Evaluating Controladora Vuela's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Controladora Vuela's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Controladora Vuela's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Controladora Vuela's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Controladora Vuela's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Controladora Vuela's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Controladora Vuela's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Controladora Vuela's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Controladora Vuela's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Controladora Vuela's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Controladora Vuela's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Complementary Tools for Controladora Stock analysis

When running Controladora Vuela's price analysis, check to measure Controladora Vuela's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Controladora Vuela is operating at the current time. Most of Controladora Vuela's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Controladora Vuela's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Controladora Vuela's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Controladora Vuela to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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