Goosehead Insurance (Germany) Performance

2OX Stock   42.53  3.74  9.64%   
The company retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 0.67, which attests to possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Goosehead Insurance's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Goosehead Insurance is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Goosehead Insurance has a negative expected return of -0.7%. Please make sure to check out Goosehead Insurance's skewness, and the relationship between the treynor ratio and rate of daily change , to decide if Goosehead Insurance performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Goosehead Insurance has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of unsteady performance in the last few months, the Stock's basic indicators remain comparatively stable which may send shares a bit higher in March 2026. The newest uproar may also be a sign of mid-term up-swing for the firm private investors. ...more
Forward Dividend Yield
0.0559
1
Why Goosehead Insurance Inc stock could outperform in 2025 - Weekly Trade Review Real-Time Price Movement Reports -
12/18/2025
2
Goosehead Insurance Given Average Recommendation of Hold by Analysts - MarketBeat
12/29/2025
3
Is Jefferies New View on Goosehead Reframing the Value of Its Capital-Light Franchise Model - simplywall.st
01/05/2026
4
Jefferies Coverage Sparks Fresh Look At Goosehead Insurance Valuation - simplywall.st
01/09/2026
5
Movement Within Algorithmic Entry Frameworks - Stock Traders Daily
01/22/2026
6
Goosehead Insurance Stock Price Down 6 percent - Whats Next - MarketBeat
01/27/2026
7
Goosehead Insurance stock hits 52-week low at 59.70 - Investing.com
02/03/2026
8
Goosehead Insurance, Inc. to Report Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2025 Results - Yahoo Finance Canada
02/10/2026
9
Strength Seen in Goosehead Can Its 5.8 percent Jump Turn into More Strength - Nasdaq
02/13/2026
10
UBS Adjusts Price Target on Goosehead Insurance to 90 From 121, Maintains Buy Rating - marketscreener.com
02/23/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow44 M
Free Cash Flow59.4 M
  

Goosehead Insurance Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  6,158  in Goosehead Insurance on November 27, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (2,279) from holding Goosehead Insurance or give up 37.01% of portfolio value over 90 days. Goosehead Insurance is generating negative expected returns and assumes 4.0638% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. Simply put, 36% of stocks are less volatile than Goosehead, and 99% of all equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns than the company over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Goosehead Insurance is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 5.32 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.17 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.07 per unit of volatility.

Goosehead Insurance Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Goosehead Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 42.53 90 days 42.53 
roughly 96.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Goosehead Insurance to move above the current price in 90 days from now is roughly 96.0 (This Goosehead Insurance probability density function shows the probability of Goosehead Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Goosehead Insurance has a beta of 0.67. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Goosehead Insurance average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Goosehead Insurance will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Goosehead Insurance has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Goosehead Insurance Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Goosehead Insurance

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Goosehead Insurance. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Goosehead Insurance's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
34.8038.8642.92
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
33.9938.0542.11
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
33.7137.7841.84
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
-188.0340.7352.16
Details

Goosehead Insurance Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Goosehead Insurance is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Goosehead Insurance's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Goosehead Insurance, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Goosehead Insurance within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.47
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.67
σ
Overall volatility
8.23
Ir
Information ratio -0.12

Goosehead Insurance Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Goosehead Insurance for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Goosehead Insurance can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Goosehead Insurance generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Goosehead Insurance has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Latest headline from news.google.com: UBS Adjusts Price Target on Goosehead Insurance to 90 From 121, Maintains Buy Rating - marketscreener.com

Goosehead Insurance Fundamentals Growth

Goosehead Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Goosehead Insurance, and Goosehead Insurance fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Goosehead Stock performance.

About Goosehead Insurance Performance

Assessing Goosehead Insurance's fundamental ratios provides investors with valuable insights into Goosehead Insurance's financial health and overall profitability. This information is crucial for making informed investment decisions. A high ROA would indicate that the Goosehead Insurance is effectively leveraging its assets and equity to generate significant profits, making it an appealing investment. Conversely, low Return on Assets could signal underlying management issues in assets and equity, indicating a necessity for operational refinements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
Goosehead Insurance is entity of Germany. It is traded as Stock on STU exchange.

Things to note about Goosehead Insurance performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Goosehead Insurance for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Goosehead Insurance help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Goosehead Insurance generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Goosehead Insurance has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Latest headline from news.google.com: UBS Adjusts Price Target on Goosehead Insurance to 90 From 121, Maintains Buy Rating - marketscreener.com
Evaluating Goosehead Insurance's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Goosehead Insurance's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Goosehead Insurance's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Goosehead Insurance's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Goosehead Insurance's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Goosehead Insurance's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Goosehead Insurance's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Goosehead Insurance's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Goosehead Insurance's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Goosehead Insurance's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Goosehead Insurance's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Additional Tools for Goosehead Stock Analysis

When running Goosehead Insurance's price analysis, check to measure Goosehead Insurance's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Goosehead Insurance is operating at the current time. Most of Goosehead Insurance's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Goosehead Insurance's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Goosehead Insurance's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Goosehead Insurance to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.