PagerDuty (Germany) Performance

2TY Stock  EUR 5.62  0.33  5.55%   
The company holds a Beta of -0.37, which implies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning PagerDuty are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, PagerDuty is likely to outperform the market. At this point, PagerDuty has a negative expected return of -1.3%. Please make sure to check PagerDuty's total risk alpha, potential upside, and the relationship between the standard deviation and maximum drawdown , to decide if PagerDuty performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days PagerDuty has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite uncertain performance in the last few months, the Stock's basic indicators remain nearly stable which may send shares a bit higher in March 2026. The current disturbance may also be a sign of long-run up-swing for the company stockholders. ...more
1
TD Cowen Issues Pessimistic Forecast for PagerDuty Stock Price - MarketBeat
11/27/2025
2
The Bull Case For PagerDuty Could Change Following Retention Pressures And A Securities Probe - simplywall.st
12/19/2025
3
RBC Capital downgrades PagerDuty to a Hold - The Globe and Mail
01/06/2026
4
A Look At PagerDutys Valuation As Analyst Downgrades Reflect Growing Caution On Growth Outlook - simplywall.st
01/09/2026
5
PagerDuty dips after RBC Capital cuts rating - MSN
01/15/2026
6
PagerDuty Adds Governance And Execution Experience As Shares Struggle - Sahm
01/22/2026
7
PagerDuty Reaches New 12-Month Low - Whats Next - MarketBeat
02/04/2026
8
PagerDuty Receives Consensus Recommendation of Hold from Analysts - MarketBeat
02/12/2026
  

PagerDuty Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  1,302  in PagerDuty on November 17, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (740.00) from holding PagerDuty or give up 56.84% of portfolio value over 90 days. PagerDuty is currently producing negative expected returns and takes up 3.6603% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 32% of traded stocks are less volatile than PagerDuty, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days horizon PagerDuty is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 4.79 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.35 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.13 per unit of volatility.

PagerDuty Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of PagerDuty Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 5.62 90 days 5.62 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of PagerDuty to move above the current price in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This PagerDuty probability density function shows the probability of PagerDuty Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon PagerDuty has a beta of -0.37. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding PagerDuty are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, PagerDuty is likely to outperform the market. Additionally PagerDuty has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   PagerDuty Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for PagerDuty

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as PagerDuty. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
1.995.659.31
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
1.745.409.06
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
-0.1-0.09-0.08
Details

PagerDuty Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. PagerDuty is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the PagerDuty's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold PagerDuty, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of PagerDuty within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-1.17
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.37
σ
Overall volatility
1.93
Ir
Information ratio -0.34

PagerDuty Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of PagerDuty for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for PagerDuty can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
PagerDuty generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
PagerDuty has high historical volatility and very poor performance
The company reported the revenue of 467.5 M. Net Loss for the year was (42.73 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 413.12 M.
Over 91.0% of the company shares are owned by institutions such as pension funds
Latest headline from news.google.com: PagerDuty Receives Consensus Recommendation of Hold from Analysts - MarketBeat

PagerDuty Fundamentals Growth

PagerDuty Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of PagerDuty, and PagerDuty fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on PagerDuty Stock performance.

About PagerDuty Performance

By analyzing PagerDuty's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into PagerDuty's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if PagerDuty has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if PagerDuty has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
PagerDuty, Inc. operates a digital operations management platform in the United States and internationally. PagerDuty, Inc. was founded in 2009 and is headquartered in San Francisco, California. PAGERDUTY INC operates under SoftwareApplication classification in Germany and is traded on Frankfurt Stock Exchange. It employs 783 people.

Things to note about PagerDuty performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about PagerDuty for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for PagerDuty help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
PagerDuty generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
PagerDuty has high historical volatility and very poor performance
The company reported the revenue of 467.5 M. Net Loss for the year was (42.73 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 413.12 M.
Over 91.0% of the company shares are owned by institutions such as pension funds
Latest headline from news.google.com: PagerDuty Receives Consensus Recommendation of Hold from Analysts - MarketBeat
Evaluating PagerDuty's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate PagerDuty's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing PagerDuty's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether PagerDuty's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining PagerDuty's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating PagerDuty's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of PagerDuty's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of PagerDuty's stock. These opinions can provide insight into PagerDuty's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating PagerDuty's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact PagerDuty's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

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When running PagerDuty's price analysis, check to measure PagerDuty's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy PagerDuty is operating at the current time. Most of PagerDuty's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of PagerDuty's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move PagerDuty's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of PagerDuty to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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