ALD SA (Germany) Performance

3AL Stock  EUR 10.66  0.25  2.29%   
ALD SA has a performance score of 3 on a scale of 0 to 100. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.19, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning ALD SA are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, ALD SA is likely to outperform the market. ALD SA at this time shows a risk of 1.79%. Please confirm ALD SA mean deviation, downside deviation, information ratio, as well as the relationship between the semi deviation and coefficient of variation , to decide if ALD SA will be following its price patterns.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Soft

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in ALD SA are ranked lower than 3 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite nearly stable basic indicators, ALD SA is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to mid-run losses for the stockholders. ...more
Forward Dividend Yield
0.0553
Payout Ratio
0.3333
Forward Dividend Rate
0.59
Ex Dividend Date
2026-05-20
Begin Period Cash Flow3.7 B
Free Cash Flow401.6 M
  

ALD SA Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  1,020  in ALD SA on November 24, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  46.00  from holding ALD SA or generate 4.51% return on investment over 90 days. ALD SA is currently producing 0.0883% returns and takes up 1.7912% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 16% of traded stocks are less volatile than ALD, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days horizon ALD SA is expected to generate 1.26 times less return on investment than the market. In addition to that, the company is 2.42 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.05 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.15 per unit of volatility.

ALD SA Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of ALD Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 10.66 90 days 10.66 
about 75.06
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of ALD SA to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 75.06 (This ALD SA probability density function shows the probability of ALD Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon ALD SA has a beta of -0.19. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding ALD SA are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, ALD SA is likely to outperform the market. Additionally ALD SA has an alpha of 0.037, implying that it can generate a 0.037 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   ALD SA Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for ALD SA

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as ALD SA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
8.8710.6612.45
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
7.439.2211.01
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
8.4810.2712.06
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
3.2610.7918.31
Details

ALD SA Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. ALD SA is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the ALD SA's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold ALD SA, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of ALD SA within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.04
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.19
σ
Overall volatility
0.68
Ir
Information ratio -0.03

ALD SA Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of ALD SA for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for ALD SA can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
ALD SA has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
ALD SA has accumulated 15.58 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 480.0, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. ALD SA has a current ratio of 0.47, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist ALD SA until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, ALD SA's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like ALD SA sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for ALD to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about ALD SA's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
About 63.0% of ALD SA shares are owned by insiders or employees

ALD SA Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of ALD Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential ALD SA's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. ALD SA's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding816 M
Dividends Paid383.5 M

ALD SA Fundamentals Growth

ALD Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of ALD SA, and ALD SA fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on ALD Stock performance.

About ALD SA Performance

By analyzing ALD SA's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into ALD SA's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if ALD SA has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if ALD SA has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
ALD S.A., together with its subsidiaries, provides service leasing and vehicle fleet management services in France and internationally. ALD S.A. was founded in 1946 and is based in Rueil-Malmaison, France. ALD EO operates under Rental Leasing Services classification in Germany and is traded on Frankfurt Stock Exchange. It employs 6542 people.

Things to note about ALD SA performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about ALD SA for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for ALD SA help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
ALD SA has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
ALD SA has accumulated 15.58 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 480.0, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. ALD SA has a current ratio of 0.47, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist ALD SA until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, ALD SA's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like ALD SA sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for ALD to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about ALD SA's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
About 63.0% of ALD SA shares are owned by insiders or employees
Evaluating ALD SA's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate ALD SA's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing ALD SA's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether ALD SA's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining ALD SA's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating ALD SA's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of ALD SA's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of ALD SA's stock. These opinions can provide insight into ALD SA's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating ALD SA's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact ALD SA's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Complementary Tools for ALD Stock analysis

When running ALD SA's price analysis, check to measure ALD SA's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy ALD SA is operating at the current time. Most of ALD SA's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of ALD SA's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move ALD SA's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of ALD SA to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
Portfolio Optimization
Compute new portfolio that will generate highest expected return given your specified tolerance for risk
Analyst Advice
Analyst recommendations and target price estimates broken down by several categories
Headlines Timeline
Stay connected to all market stories and filter out noise. Drill down to analyze hype elasticity
Share Portfolio
Track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device
Commodity Channel
Use Commodity Channel Index to analyze current equity momentum
Latest Portfolios
Quick portfolio dashboard that showcases your latest portfolios
Portfolio Analyzer
Portfolio analysis module that provides access to portfolio diagnostics and optimization engine
Aroon Oscillator
Analyze current equity momentum using Aroon Oscillator and other momentum ratios
Financial Widgets
Easily integrated Macroaxis content with over 30 different plug-and-play financial widgets