PLAYMATES TOYS (Germany) Performance

45P Stock   0.04  0  2.50%   
The company owns a Beta (Systematic Risk) of -0.0214, which implies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning PLAYMATES TOYS are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, PLAYMATES TOYS is likely to outperform the market. At this point, PLAYMATES TOYS has a negative expected return of -0.5%. Please make sure to check PLAYMATES TOYS's coefficient of variation, value at risk, rate of daily change, as well as the relationship between the total risk alpha and kurtosis , to decide if PLAYMATES TOYS performance from the past will be repeated in the future.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days PLAYMATES TOYS has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of uncertain performance in the last few months, the Stock's basic indicators remain comparatively stable which may send shares a bit higher in April 2026. The newest uproar may also be a sign of mid-term up-swing for the firm private investors. ...more
1
Playmates Toys Loses Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles License - NickALive
12/23/2025
2
Playmates Toys Warns of 2025 Loss as Revenue Halves on Weaker Franchise Demand and Tariffs - TipRanks
02/06/2026
  

PLAYMATES TOYS Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  5.40  in PLAYMATES TOYS on December 4, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (1.50) from holding PLAYMATES TOYS or give up 27.78% of portfolio value over 90 days. PLAYMATES TOYS is generating negative expected returns and assumes 2.9713% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. Simply put, 26% of stocks are less volatile than PLAYMATES, and 99% of all equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns than the company over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon PLAYMATES TOYS is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 3.88 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.17 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.03 per unit of volatility.

PLAYMATES TOYS Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of PLAYMATES Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 0.04 90 days 0.04 
about 80.59
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of PLAYMATES TOYS to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 80.59 (This PLAYMATES TOYS probability density function shows the probability of PLAYMATES Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon PLAYMATES TOYS has a beta of -0.0214. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding PLAYMATES TOYS are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, PLAYMATES TOYS is likely to outperform the market. Additionally PLAYMATES TOYS has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   PLAYMATES TOYS Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for PLAYMATES TOYS

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as PLAYMATES TOYS. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of PLAYMATES TOYS's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.043.01
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.043.01
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.00080.043.01
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.020.040.04
Details

PLAYMATES TOYS Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. PLAYMATES TOYS is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the PLAYMATES TOYS's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold PLAYMATES TOYS, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of PLAYMATES TOYS within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.27
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.02
σ
Overall volatility
0.01
Ir
Information ratio -0.1

PLAYMATES TOYS Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of PLAYMATES TOYS for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for PLAYMATES TOYS can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
PLAYMATES TOYS generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
PLAYMATES TOYS has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Latest headline from news.google.com: Playmates Toys Warns of 2025 Loss as Revenue Halves on Weaker Franchise Demand and Tariffs - TipRanks

PLAYMATES TOYS Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of PLAYMATES Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential PLAYMATES TOYS's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. PLAYMATES TOYS's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding1.2 B
Short Term Investments87.5 M

PLAYMATES TOYS Fundamentals Growth

PLAYMATES Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of PLAYMATES TOYS, and PLAYMATES TOYS fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on PLAYMATES Stock performance.

About PLAYMATES TOYS Performance

Assessing PLAYMATES TOYS's fundamental ratios provides investors with valuable insights into PLAYMATES TOYS's financial health and overall profitability. This information is crucial for making informed investment decisions. A high ROA would indicate that the PLAYMATES TOYS is effectively leveraging its assets and equity to generate significant profits, making it an appealing investment. Conversely, low Return on Assets could signal underlying management issues in assets and equity, indicating a necessity for operational refinements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
PLAYMATES TOYS is entity of Germany. It is traded as Stock on STU exchange.

Things to note about PLAYMATES TOYS performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about PLAYMATES TOYS for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for PLAYMATES TOYS help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
PLAYMATES TOYS generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
PLAYMATES TOYS has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Latest headline from news.google.com: Playmates Toys Warns of 2025 Loss as Revenue Halves on Weaker Franchise Demand and Tariffs - TipRanks
Evaluating PLAYMATES TOYS's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate PLAYMATES TOYS's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing PLAYMATES TOYS's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether PLAYMATES TOYS's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining PLAYMATES TOYS's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating PLAYMATES TOYS's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of PLAYMATES TOYS's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of PLAYMATES TOYS's stock. These opinions can provide insight into PLAYMATES TOYS's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating PLAYMATES TOYS's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact PLAYMATES TOYS's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Additional Tools for PLAYMATES Stock Analysis

When running PLAYMATES TOYS's price analysis, check to measure PLAYMATES TOYS's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy PLAYMATES TOYS is operating at the current time. Most of PLAYMATES TOYS's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of PLAYMATES TOYS's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move PLAYMATES TOYS's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of PLAYMATES TOYS to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.