MSAD Insurance (Germany) Performance

59M0 Stock   21.00  0.20  0.96%   
On a scale of 0 to 100, MSAD Insurance holds a performance score of 11. The company owns a Beta (Systematic Risk) of -0.14, which conveys not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning MSAD Insurance are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, MSAD Insurance is likely to outperform the market. Please check MSAD Insurance's mean deviation, downside deviation, information ratio, as well as the relationship between the semi deviation and coefficient of variation , to make a quick decision on whether MSAD Insurance's current price history will revert.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Good

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in MSAD Insurance Group are ranked lower than 11 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite nearly unsteady primary indicators, MSAD Insurance reported solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more
Forward Dividend Yield
0.0431
Payout Ratio
0.3094
Forward Dividend Rate
0.85
Ex Dividend Date
2025-09-30
Begin Period Cash Flow2.7 T
End Period Cash Flow2.2 T
Dividend Yield0.0431
Free Cash Flow571.9 B
Payout Ratio0.3094
  

MSAD Insurance Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  1,910  in MSAD Insurance Group on November 4, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  190.00  from holding MSAD Insurance Group or generate 9.95% return on investment over 90 days. MSAD Insurance Group is generating 0.2456% of daily returns assuming 1.6969% volatility of returns over the 90 days investment horizon. Simply put, 15% of all stocks have less volatile historical return distribution than MSAD Insurance, and 96% of all equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns than the company over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon MSAD Insurance is expected to generate 2.28 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 2.28 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.14 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.09 per unit of risk.

MSAD Insurance Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of MSAD Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 21.00 90 days 21.00 
about 23.7
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of MSAD Insurance to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 23.7 (This MSAD Insurance Group probability density function shows the probability of MSAD Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon MSAD Insurance Group has a beta of -0.14. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding MSAD Insurance are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, MSAD Insurance Group is likely to outperform the market. Additionally MSAD Insurance Group has an alpha of 0.2466, implying that it can generate a 0.25 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   MSAD Insurance Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for MSAD Insurance

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as MSAD Insurance Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
19.3021.0022.70
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
15.7517.4523.10
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
18.6520.3422.04
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
20.4221.2122.01
Details

MSAD Insurance Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. MSAD Insurance is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the MSAD Insurance's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold MSAD Insurance Group, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of MSAD Insurance within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.25
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.14
σ
Overall volatility
0.81
Ir
Information ratio 0.12

MSAD Insurance Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of MSAD Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential MSAD Insurance's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. MSAD Insurance's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding1.5 B
Dividend Yield0.0431

MSAD Insurance Fundamentals Growth

MSAD Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of MSAD Insurance, and MSAD Insurance fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on MSAD Stock performance.

About MSAD Insurance Performance

By analyzing MSAD Insurance's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into MSAD Insurance's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if MSAD Insurance has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if MSAD Insurance has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
MSAD Insurance is entity of Germany. It is traded as Stock on F exchange.

Things to note about MSAD Insurance Group performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about MSAD Insurance for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for MSAD Insurance Group help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Evaluating MSAD Insurance's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate MSAD Insurance's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing MSAD Insurance's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether MSAD Insurance's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining MSAD Insurance's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating MSAD Insurance's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of MSAD Insurance's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of MSAD Insurance's stock. These opinions can provide insight into MSAD Insurance's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating MSAD Insurance's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact MSAD Insurance's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

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When running MSAD Insurance's price analysis, check to measure MSAD Insurance's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy MSAD Insurance is operating at the current time. Most of MSAD Insurance's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of MSAD Insurance's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move MSAD Insurance's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of MSAD Insurance to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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