Hongda (China) Performance

600331 Stock   14.73  0.24  1.66%   
On a scale of 0 to 100, Hongda holds a performance score of 15. The company retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 0.052, which attests to not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Hongda's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Hongda is expected to be smaller as well. Please check Hongda's downside deviation, standard deviation, total risk alpha, as well as the relationship between the coefficient of variation and jensen alpha , to make a quick decision on whether Hongda's current trending patterns will revert.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Solid

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Hongda are ranked lower than 15 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite somewhat weak basic indicators, Hongda sustained solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more
Begin Period Cash Flow174.8 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-50.3 M
  

Hongda Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  1,092  in Hongda on October 29, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  381.00  from holding Hongda or generate 34.89% return on investment over 90 days. Hongda is generating 0.5183% of daily returns and assumes 2.6495% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. Simply put, 23% of stocks are less volatile than Hongda, and 90% of all equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns than the company over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Hongda is expected to generate 3.55 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 3.55 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.2 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.09 per unit of risk.

Hongda Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Hongda Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 14.73 90 days 14.73 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Hongda to move above the current price in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Hongda probability density function shows the probability of Hongda Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Hongda has a beta of 0.052. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Hongda average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Hongda will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Hongda has an alpha of 0.5694, implying that it can generate a 0.57 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Hongda Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Hongda

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Hongda. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
12.0514.7317.41
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
10.9513.6316.31
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
11.9214.5917.27
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
11.7613.0614.37
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Hongda. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Hongda's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Hongda's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Hongda.

Hongda Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Hongda is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Hongda's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Hongda, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Hongda within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.57
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.05
σ
Overall volatility
1.15
Ir
Information ratio 0.19

Hongda Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Hongda for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Hongda can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 48.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Hongda Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Hongda Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Hongda's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Hongda's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares OutstandingB
Cash And Short Term Investments327.6 M

Hongda Fundamentals Growth

Hongda Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Hongda, and Hongda fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Hongda Stock performance.

About Hongda Performance

By analyzing Hongda's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Hongda's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Hongda has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Hongda has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.

Things to note about Hongda performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Hongda for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Hongda help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 48.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees
Evaluating Hongda's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Hongda's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Hongda's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Hongda's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Hongda's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Hongda's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Hongda's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Hongda's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Hongda's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Hongda's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Hongda's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Complementary Tools for Hongda Stock analysis

When running Hongda's price analysis, check to measure Hongda's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Hongda is operating at the current time. Most of Hongda's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Hongda's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Hongda's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Hongda to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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