Merck (Germany) Performance

6MK Stock  EUR 103.20  0.20  0.19%   
On a scale of 0 to 100, Merck holds a performance score of 27. The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 0.16, which conveys not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Merck's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Merck is expected to be smaller as well. Please check Merck's maximum drawdown, semi variance, and the relationship between the sortino ratio and potential upside , to make a quick decision on whether Merck's current price movements will revert.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Strong

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Merck Co are ranked lower than 27 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite somewhat unsteady forward-looking signals, Merck sustained solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more
1
Merck Co., Inc. MRK Shares Purchased by KBC Group NV - MarketBeat
11/12/2025
2
Candriam S.C.A. Sells 494,389 Shares of Merck Co., Inc. MRK - MarketBeat
11/13/2025
3
Merck Stock Rises as Heart-Drug Test Offers Hopeful Sign for Post-Keytruda Era - Barrons
11/18/2025
4
Merck Stock Today December 8, 2025 Pipeline Bets, Cidara Deal and Vaccine Policy Risks - ts2.tech
12/08/2025
5
Merck Stock News, Forecasts Analyst Outlook What Investors Are Watching on December 12, 2025 - ts2.tech
12/11/2025
6
Merck Co., Inc. MRK Shares Bought by Corient Private Wealth LLC - MarketBeat
12/15/2025
7
Merck stock slips after-hours as CDC backs one-dose HPV shot Cidara deal closes - TechStock
01/07/2026
8
Our Q4 and full-year 2025 financial results - Merck.com
02/03/2026
9
Merck Co. continues its bullish trend for the seventh straight session - MSN
02/06/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow6.9 B
Free Cash Flow18.1 B
  

Merck Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  7,397  in Merck Co on November 9, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  2,923  from holding Merck Co or generate 39.52% return on investment over 90 days. Merck Co is generating 0.5604% of daily returns assuming 1.632% volatility of returns over the 90 days investment horizon. Simply put, 14% of all stocks have less volatile historical return distribution than Merck, and 89% of all equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns than the company over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Merck is expected to generate 1.99 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 1.99 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.34 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.12 per unit of risk.

Merck Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Merck Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 103.20 90 days 103.20 
about 1.6
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Merck to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 1.6 (This Merck Co probability density function shows the probability of Merck Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Merck has a beta of 0.16. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Merck average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Merck Co will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Merck Co has an alpha of 0.5153, implying that it can generate a 0.52 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Merck Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Merck

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Merck. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
102.12103.75105.38
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
92.88113.32114.95
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
108.82110.45112.09
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
80.4290.77101.13
Details

Merck Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Merck is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Merck's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Merck Co, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Merck within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.52
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.16
σ
Overall volatility
7.43
Ir
Information ratio 0.27

Merck Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Merck for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Merck can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.

Merck Fundamentals Growth

Merck Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Merck, and Merck fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Merck Stock performance.

About Merck Performance

By analyzing Merck's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Merck's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Merck has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Merck has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
Merck is entity of Germany. It is traded as Stock on HA exchange.

Things to note about Merck performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Merck for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Merck help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Evaluating Merck's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Merck's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Merck's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Merck's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Merck's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Merck's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Merck's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Merck's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Merck's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Merck's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Merck's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

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When running Merck's price analysis, check to measure Merck's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Merck is operating at the current time. Most of Merck's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Merck's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Merck's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Merck to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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