Autodesk (Brazil) Performance

A1UT34 Stock  BRL 335.26  0.85  0.25%   
The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.44, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Autodesk are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Autodesk is likely to outperform the market. At this point, Autodesk has a negative expected return of -0.34%. Please make sure to confirm Autodesk's potential upside, kurtosis, and the relationship between the maximum drawdown and skewness , to decide if Autodesk performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Autodesk has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite weak performance in the last few months, the Stock's basic indicators remain somewhat strong which may send shares a bit higher in April 2026. The current disturbance may also be a sign of long term up-swing for the company investors. ...more
Begin Period Cash Flow1.8 B
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-1.6 B
  

Autodesk Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  41,697  in Autodesk on December 5, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (8,171) from holding Autodesk or give up 19.6% of portfolio value over 90 days. Autodesk is generating negative expected returns and assumes 2.5401% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. Simply put, 22% of stocks are less volatile than Autodesk, and 99% of all equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns than the company over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Autodesk is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 3.31 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.14 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.04 per unit of volatility.

Autodesk Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Autodesk Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 335.26 90 days 335.26 
about 72.41
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Autodesk to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 72.41 (This Autodesk probability density function shows the probability of Autodesk Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Autodesk has a beta of -0.44. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Autodesk are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Autodesk is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Autodesk has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Autodesk Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Autodesk

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Autodesk. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
332.72335.26337.80
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
285.66288.20368.79
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
354.42356.96359.50
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
335.26335.26335.26
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Autodesk. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Autodesk's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Autodesk's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Autodesk.

Autodesk Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Autodesk is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Autodesk's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Autodesk, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Autodesk within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.23
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.44
σ
Overall volatility
44.29
Ir
Information ratio -0.11

Autodesk Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Autodesk for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Autodesk can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Autodesk generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Autodesk has accumulated 2.28 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 2.18, implying the company greatly relies on financing operations through barrowing. Autodesk has a current ratio of 0.81, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Autodesk until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Autodesk's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Autodesk sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Autodesk to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Autodesk's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.

Autodesk Fundamentals Growth

Autodesk Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Autodesk, and Autodesk fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Autodesk Stock performance.

About Autodesk Performance

By analyzing Autodesk's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Autodesk's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Autodesk has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Autodesk has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
Autodesk, Inc. provides 3D design, engineering, and entertainment software and services worldwide. The company was founded in 1982 and is headquartered in San Rafael, California. AUTODESK INCDRN operates under SoftwareApplication classification in Brazil and is traded on Sao Paolo Stock Exchange. It employs 11500 people.

Things to note about Autodesk performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Autodesk for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Autodesk help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Autodesk generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Autodesk has accumulated 2.28 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 2.18, implying the company greatly relies on financing operations through barrowing. Autodesk has a current ratio of 0.81, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Autodesk until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Autodesk's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Autodesk sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Autodesk to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Autodesk's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
Evaluating Autodesk's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Autodesk's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Autodesk's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Autodesk's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Autodesk's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Autodesk's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Autodesk's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Autodesk's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Autodesk's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Autodesk's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Autodesk's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

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When running Autodesk's price analysis, check to measure Autodesk's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Autodesk is operating at the current time. Most of Autodesk's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Autodesk's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Autodesk's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Autodesk to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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