Alpha Architect Equity Etf Performance

AAEQ Etf   49.34  0.36  0.72%   
The etf shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.36, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Alpha Architect's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Alpha Architect is expected to be smaller as well.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Alpha Architect Equity has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Even with relatively invariable technical and fundamental indicators, Alpha Architect is not utilizing all of its potentials. The newest stock price agitation, may contribute to short-term losses for the retail investors. ...more

Alpha Architect Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  5,033  in Alpha Architect Equity on November 4, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (99.00) from holding Alpha Architect Equity or give up 1.97% of portfolio value over 90 days. Alpha Architect Equity is currently does not generate positive expected returns and assumes 0.7515% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 6% of etfs are less volatile than Alpha, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Alpha Architect is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 1.01 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.07 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.09 per unit of volatility.

Alpha Architect Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Alpha Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 49.34 90 days 49.34 
about 71.4
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Alpha Architect to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 71.4 (This Alpha Architect Equity probability density function shows the probability of Alpha Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Alpha Architect has a beta of 0.36. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Alpha Architect average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Alpha Architect Equity will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Alpha Architect Equity has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Alpha Architect Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Alpha Architect

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Alpha Architect Equity. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Alpha Architect's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
48.5949.3450.09
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
48.6149.3650.11
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
49.2850.0350.78
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
48.6849.4950.29
Details

Alpha Architect Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Alpha Architect is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Alpha Architect's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Alpha Architect Equity, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Alpha Architect within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.08
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.36
σ
Overall volatility
0.46
Ir
Information ratio -0.13

Alpha Architect Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Alpha Architect for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Alpha Architect Equity can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Alpha Architect generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

About Alpha Architect Performance

Assessing Alpha Architect's fundamental ratios provides investors with valuable insights into Alpha Architect's financial health and overall profitability. This information is crucial for making informed investment decisions. A high ROA would indicate that the Alpha Architect is effectively leveraging its assets and equity to generate significant profits, making it an appealing investment. Conversely, low Return on Assets could signal underlying management issues in assets and equity, indicating a necessity for operational refinements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
Alpha Architect is entity of United States. It is traded as Etf on NASDAQ exchange.
Alpha Architect generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
When determining whether Alpha Architect Equity is a strong investment it is important to analyze Alpha Architect's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Alpha Architect's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Alpha Etf, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Alpha Architect Equity. Also, note that the market value of any etf could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in real.
You can also try the Transaction History module to view history of all your transactions and understand their impact on performance.
Investors evaluate Alpha Architect Equity using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Alpha Architect's intrinsic value—the estimated true worth—helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Market participants employ diverse analytical approaches to determine fair value and identify buying opportunities when prices dip below calculated worth. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Alpha Architect's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
Understanding that Alpha Architect's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether Alpha Architect represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. Conversely, Alpha Architect's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.