Adaptive Ad Systems Stock Performance

AATV Stock  USD 0.09  0.0004  0.44%   
On a scale of 0 to 100, Adaptive holds a performance score of 4. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.63, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Adaptive's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Adaptive is expected to be smaller as well. Please check Adaptive's information ratio and the relationship between the value at risk and period momentum indicator , to make a quick decision on whether Adaptive's price patterns will revert.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Soft

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Adaptive Ad Systems are ranked lower than 4 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly weak basic indicators, Adaptive showed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more
  

Adaptive Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  9.00  in Adaptive Ad Systems on November 2, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  0.04  from holding Adaptive Ad Systems or generate 0.44% return on investment over 90 days. Adaptive Ad Systems is currently generating 0.8041% in daily expected returns and assumes 14.261% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, most equities are less risky than Adaptive, and most traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Adaptive is expected to generate 19.08 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 19.08 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.06 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.07 per unit of risk.

Adaptive Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Adaptive Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 0.09 90 days 0.09 
about 69.15
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Adaptive to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 69.15 (This Adaptive Ad Systems probability density function shows the probability of Adaptive Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Adaptive has a beta of 0.63. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Adaptive average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Adaptive Ad Systems will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Adaptive Ad Systems has an alpha of 0.7002, implying that it can generate a 0.7 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Adaptive Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Adaptive

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Adaptive Ad Systems. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Adaptive's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.0914.35
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.0914.35
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
00.0814.34
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.090.100.12
Details

Adaptive Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Adaptive is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Adaptive's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Adaptive Ad Systems, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Adaptive within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.70
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.63
σ
Overall volatility
0.02
Ir
Information ratio 0.05

Adaptive Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Adaptive for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Adaptive Ad Systems can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Adaptive Ad Systems is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Adaptive Ad Systems has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Adaptive Ad Systems appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues

Adaptive Fundamentals Growth

Adaptive Pink Sheet prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Adaptive, and Adaptive fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Adaptive Pink Sheet performance.

About Adaptive Performance

Evaluating Adaptive's performance through its fundamental ratios, provides valuable insights into its operational efficiency and profitability. For instance, if Adaptive has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Adaptive has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
Adaptive Ad Systems Inc. operates as a digital media and video communications company in the United States. Adaptive Ad Systems Inc. was incorporated in 1994 and is based in Vancouver, Washington. Adaptive operates under Advertising Agencies classification in the United States and is traded on OTC Exchange.

Things to note about Adaptive Ad Systems performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Adaptive for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Pink Sheet alerts and notifications screener for Adaptive Ad Systems help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Adaptive Ad Systems is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Adaptive Ad Systems has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Adaptive Ad Systems appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Evaluating Adaptive's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Adaptive's pink sheet performance include:
  • Analyzing Adaptive's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Adaptive's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Adaptive's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Adaptive's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Adaptive's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Adaptive's pink sheet. These opinions can provide insight into Adaptive's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Adaptive's pink sheet performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Adaptive's pink sheet market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Additional Tools for Adaptive Pink Sheet Analysis

When running Adaptive's price analysis, check to measure Adaptive's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Adaptive is operating at the current time. Most of Adaptive's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Adaptive's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Adaptive's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Adaptive to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.