Adobe Systems Incorporated Stock Performance

ADBE Stock  USD 269.83  9.88  3.53%   
The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.95, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. Adobe Systems returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Adobe Systems is expected to follow. At this point, Adobe Systems has a negative expected return of -0.24%. Please make sure to confirm Adobe Systems' skewness, day typical price, and the relationship between the value at risk and rate of daily change , to decide if Adobe Systems performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Adobe Systems Incorporated has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of inconsistent performance in the last few months, the Stock's fundamental drivers remain rather sound which may send shares a bit higher in March 2026. The latest tumult may also be a sign of longer-term up-swing for the firm shareholders. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
2.86
Five Day Return
(4.08)
Year To Date Return
(16.08)
Ten Year Return
223.89
All Time Return
132.5 K
Last Split Factor
2:1
Ex Dividend Date
2005-03-24
Last Split Date
2005-05-24
1
Adobe Upgraded to Strong Sell at The Goldman Sachs Group
01/13/2026
2
Adobe Drops 9 percent in 3 Months Buy, Sell or Hold the Stock in 2026
01/16/2026
3
Adobe Stock Price Crash Supercharges Is It A Bargain Or A Value Trap
01/22/2026
4
1 AI Stock Down 14 percent to Start 2026 That Looks Like an Absolute Bargain Right Now
01/26/2026
5
Adobe Firefly Extends Reach Into Marketing Workflows As Competition Builds
01/27/2026
6
I Dont Know What to do With Adobe , Says Jim Cramer
01/28/2026
7
Better AI Software Stock Figma vs. Adobe
01/29/2026
8
Stock Market Today, Jan. 29 Microsoft Slides and Meta Surges
01/30/2026
9
Acquisition by Anil Chakravarthy of 18086 shares of Adobe Systems subject to Rule 16b-3
02/02/2026
10
Why Adobe Stock Is Falling Today
02/03/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow7.6 B
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-1.2 B

Adobe Systems Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  32,695  in Adobe Systems Incorporated on November 7, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (4,724) from holding Adobe Systems Incorporated or give up 14.45% of portfolio value over 90 days. Adobe Systems Incorporated is currently does not generate positive expected returns and assumes 2.0235% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 18% of stocks are less volatile than Adobe, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Adobe Systems is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 2.69 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.12 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.12 per unit of volatility.

Adobe Systems Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Adobe Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 269.83 90 days 269.83 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Adobe Systems to move above the current price in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Adobe Systems Incorporated probability density function shows the probability of Adobe Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Adobe Systems has a beta of 0.95. This suggests Adobe Systems Incorporated market returns are highly-sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Adobe Systems is expected to follow. Additionally Adobe Systems Incorporated has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Adobe Systems Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Adobe Systems

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Adobe Systems. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
276.16278.18280.20
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
251.74355.55357.57
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
289.21291.24293.26
Details
38 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
376.97414.26459.83
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Adobe Systems. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Adobe Systems' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Adobe Systems' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Adobe Systems.

Adobe Systems Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Adobe Systems is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Adobe Systems' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Adobe Systems Incorporated, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Adobe Systems within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.33
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.95
σ
Overall volatility
21.36
Ir
Information ratio -0.17

Adobe Systems Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Adobe Systems for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Adobe Systems can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Adobe Systems generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Over 87.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Why Adobe Stock Is Falling Today

Adobe Systems Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Adobe Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Adobe Systems' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Adobe Systems' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding427 M
Cash And Short Term Investments6.6 B

Adobe Systems Fundamentals Growth

Adobe Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Adobe Systems, and Adobe Systems fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Adobe Stock performance.

About Adobe Systems Performance

By analyzing Adobe Systems' fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Adobe Systems' financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Adobe Systems has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Adobe Systems has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 46.13  30.23 
Return On Tangible Assets 0.42  0.44 
Return On Capital Employed 0.20  0.34 
Return On Assets 0.14  0.19 
Return On Equity 0.28  0.29 

Things to note about Adobe Systems performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Adobe Systems for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Adobe Systems help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Adobe Systems generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Over 87.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Why Adobe Stock Is Falling Today
Evaluating Adobe Systems' performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Adobe Systems' stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Adobe Systems' financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Adobe Systems' stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Adobe Systems' industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Adobe Systems' management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Adobe Systems' management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Adobe Systems' stock. These opinions can provide insight into Adobe Systems' potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Adobe Systems' stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Adobe Systems' stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Complementary Tools for Adobe Stock analysis

When running Adobe Systems' price analysis, check to measure Adobe Systems' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Adobe Systems is operating at the current time. Most of Adobe Systems' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Adobe Systems' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Adobe Systems' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Adobe Systems to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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