Adf Group Stock Performance

ADFJF Stock  USD 6.66  0.71  11.93%   
On a scale of 0 to 100, ADF holds a performance score of 12. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 1.21, which signifies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, ADF will likely underperform. Please check ADF's treynor ratio, expected short fall, and the relationship between the jensen alpha and potential upside , to make a quick decision on whether ADF's price patterns will revert.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Good

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in ADF Group are ranked lower than 12 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite nearly fragile forward-looking indicators, ADF reported solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more
Begin Period Cash Flow17.8 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-22 M
  

ADF Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  498.00  in ADF Group on November 4, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  168.00  from holding ADF Group or generate 33.73% return on investment over 90 days. ADF Group is currently producing 0.528% returns and takes up 3.2657% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 29% of traded pink sheets are less volatile than ADF, and 90% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days horizon ADF is expected to generate 4.39 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 4.39 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.16 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.09 per unit of risk.

ADF Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of ADF Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 6.66 90 days 6.66 
about 7.69
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of ADF to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 7.69 (This ADF Group probability density function shows the probability of ADF Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon the pink sheet has the beta coefficient of 1.21 . This suggests as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, ADF will likely underperform. Additionally ADF Group has an alpha of 0.412, implying that it can generate a 0.41 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   ADF Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for ADF

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as ADF Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
3.406.669.92
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
2.996.259.51
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
3.586.8410.11
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
5.826.437.03
Details

ADF Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. ADF is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the ADF's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold ADF Group, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of ADF within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.41
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.21
σ
Overall volatility
0.61
Ir
Information ratio 0.13

ADF Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of ADF for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for ADF Group can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
ADF Group appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
About 13.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

ADF Fundamentals Growth

ADF Pink Sheet prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of ADF, and ADF fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on ADF Pink Sheet performance.

About ADF Performance

By analyzing ADF's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into ADF's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if ADF has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if ADF has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
ADF Group Inc. engages in the design and engineering of connections in Canada and the United States. ADF Group Inc. was founded in 1956 and is headquartered in Terrebonne, Canada. Adf operates under Metal Fabrication classification in the United States and is traded on OTC Exchange. It employs 671 people.

Things to note about ADF Group performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about ADF for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Pink Sheet alerts and notifications screener for ADF Group help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
ADF Group appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
About 13.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Evaluating ADF's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate ADF's pink sheet performance include:
  • Analyzing ADF's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether ADF's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining ADF's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating ADF's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of ADF's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of ADF's pink sheet. These opinions can provide insight into ADF's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating ADF's pink sheet performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact ADF's pink sheet market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Complementary Tools for ADF Pink Sheet analysis

When running ADF's price analysis, check to measure ADF's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy ADF is operating at the current time. Most of ADF's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of ADF's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move ADF's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of ADF to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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