Automatic Data (Germany) Performance

ADP Stock  EUR 185.88  6.56  3.66%   
The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.33, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Automatic Data are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Automatic Data is likely to outperform the market. At this point, Automatic Data Processing has a negative expected return of -0.27%. Please make sure to confirm Automatic Data's potential upside, kurtosis, and the relationship between the value at risk and skewness , to decide if Automatic Data Processing performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Automatic Data Processing has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite unsteady performance in the last few months, the Stock's basic indicators remain nearly stable which may send shares a bit higher in March 2026. The current disturbance may also be a sign of long-run up-swing for the company stockholders. ...more
Forward Dividend Yield
0.0326
Payout Ratio
0.6071
Forward Dividend Rate
5.84
Ex Dividend Date
2026-03-13
1
ADP Stock Price, Forecast Analysis AUTOMATIC DATA PROCESSING - Chartmill
01/07/2026
2
ADP authorized to purchase 6 billion of common stock - Investing.com
01/14/2026
3
Automatic Data Processing, Inc. ADP Shares Bought by Vest Financial LLC - MarketBeat
01/21/2026
4
AEGON ASSET MANAGEMENT UK Plc Sells 87,186 Shares of Automatic Data Processing, Inc. ADP - MarketBeat
01/26/2026
5
Why Analysts See The Story Behind Automatic Data Processing Shifting With New Price Targets - Yahoo Finance
01/29/2026
6
Can ADPs New Assist AI Agents Deepen Its Workforce Data Advantage or Dilute Focus - Yahoo Finance
02/04/2026
7
U.S. employers added 6,500 jobs a week in January, ADP says - Stock Titan
02/10/2026
8
Longbow Finance SA Decreases Stake in Automatic Data Processing, Inc. ADP - MarketBeat
02/13/2026
9
ADP Just Raised Its Dividend 10 percent for the 50th Year in a Row - 247 Wall St.
02/18/2026
  

Automatic Data Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  21,995  in Automatic Data Processing on November 29, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (3,407) from holding Automatic Data Processing or give up 15.49% of portfolio value over 90 days. Automatic Data Processing is currently producing negative expected returns and takes up 1.7529% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 15% of traded stocks are less volatile than Automatic, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days horizon Automatic Data is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 2.33 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.15 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.11 per unit of volatility.

Automatic Data Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Automatic Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 185.88 90 days 185.88 
about 92.91
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Automatic Data to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 92.91 (This Automatic Data Processing probability density function shows the probability of Automatic Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Automatic Data Processing has a beta of -0.33. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Automatic Data are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Automatic Data Processing is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Automatic Data Processing has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Automatic Data Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Automatic Data

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Automatic Data Processing. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
183.98185.73187.48
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
160.81162.56204.47
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
192.97194.72196.48
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
1.421.491.54
Details

Automatic Data Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Automatic Data is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Automatic Data's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Automatic Data Processing, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Automatic Data within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.18
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.33
σ
Overall volatility
16.83
Ir
Information ratio -0.2

Automatic Data Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Automatic Data for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Automatic Data Processing can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Automatic Data generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Over 86.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from news.google.com: ADP Just Raised Its Dividend 10 percent for the 50th Year in a Row - 247 Wall St.

Automatic Data Fundamentals Growth

Automatic Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Automatic Data, and Automatic Data fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Automatic Stock performance.

About Automatic Data Performance

By analyzing Automatic Data's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Automatic Data's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Automatic Data has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Automatic Data has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
Automatic Data Processing, Inc. provides business process outsourcing services worldwide. The company was founded in 1949 and is headquartered in Roseland, New Jersey. AUTOM DATA is traded on Frankfurt Stock Exchange in Germany.

Things to note about Automatic Data Processing performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Automatic Data for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Automatic Data Processing help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Automatic Data generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Over 86.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from news.google.com: ADP Just Raised Its Dividend 10 percent for the 50th Year in a Row - 247 Wall St.
Evaluating Automatic Data's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Automatic Data's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Automatic Data's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Automatic Data's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Automatic Data's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Automatic Data's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Automatic Data's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Automatic Data's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Automatic Data's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Automatic Data's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Automatic Data's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Complementary Tools for Automatic Stock analysis

When running Automatic Data's price analysis, check to measure Automatic Data's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Automatic Data is operating at the current time. Most of Automatic Data's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Automatic Data's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Automatic Data's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Automatic Data to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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