Adcorp (South Africa) Performance

ADR Stock   636.00  17.00  2.60%   
The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.55, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Adcorp are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Adcorp is likely to outperform the market. At this point, Adcorp has a negative expected return of -0.0906%. Please make sure to confirm Adcorp's total risk alpha, potential upside, and the relationship between the standard deviation and maximum drawdown , to decide if Adcorp performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Adcorp has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of rather sound technical and fundamental indicators, Adcorp is not utilizing all of its potentials. The latest stock price tumult, may contribute to shorter-term losses for the shareholders. ...more
Begin Period Cash Flow498.4 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities128.8 M
  

Adcorp Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  68,900  in Adcorp on November 21, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (5,300) from holding Adcorp or give up 7.69% of portfolio value over 90 days. Adcorp is generating negative expected returns and assumes 2.9386% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. Simply put, 26% of stocks are less volatile than Adcorp, and 99% of all equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns than the company over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Adcorp is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 3.93 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.03 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.17 per unit of volatility.

Adcorp Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Adcorp Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 636.00 90 days 636.00 
about 60.16
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Adcorp to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 60.16 (This Adcorp probability density function shows the probability of Adcorp Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Adcorp has a beta of -0.55. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Adcorp are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Adcorp is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Adcorp has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Adcorp Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Adcorp

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Adcorp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
633.06636.00638.94
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
528.99531.93699.60
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
640.36643.30646.24
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
470.43647.30824.17
Details

Adcorp Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Adcorp is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Adcorp's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Adcorp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Adcorp within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.06
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.55
σ
Overall volatility
30.63
Ir
Information ratio -0.04

Adcorp Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Adcorp for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Adcorp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Adcorp generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Over 95.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies

Adcorp Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Adcorp Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Adcorp's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Adcorp's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding112.8 M
Cash And Short Term Investments331 M

Adcorp Fundamentals Growth

Adcorp Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Adcorp, and Adcorp fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Adcorp Stock performance.

About Adcorp Performance

By analyzing Adcorp's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Adcorp's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Adcorp has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Adcorp has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.

Things to note about Adcorp performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Adcorp for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Adcorp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Adcorp generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Over 95.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Evaluating Adcorp's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Adcorp's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Adcorp's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Adcorp's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Adcorp's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Adcorp's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Adcorp's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Adcorp's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Adcorp's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Adcorp's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Adcorp's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Complementary Tools for Adcorp Stock analysis

When running Adcorp's price analysis, check to measure Adcorp's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Adcorp is operating at the current time. Most of Adcorp's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Adcorp's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Adcorp's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Adcorp to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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