Autodesk Stock Performance

ADSK Stock  USD 243.58  1.05  0.43%   
The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 1.0, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. Autodesk returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Autodesk is expected to follow. At this point, Autodesk has a negative expected return of -0.33%. Please make sure to confirm Autodesk's skewness, as well as the relationship between the rate of daily change and period momentum indicator , to decide if Autodesk performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Autodesk has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite uncertain performance in the last few months, the Stock's basic indicators remain quite persistent which may send shares a bit higher in March 2026. The latest mess may also be a sign of long-standing up-swing for the company institutional investors. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
0.43
Five Day Return
(0.92)
Year To Date Return
(15.05)
Ten Year Return
457.14
All Time Return
48.6 K
Last Split Factor
2:1
Ex Dividend Date
2005-03-22
Last Split Date
2004-12-21
1
Autodesk Seen Outgrowing Its End Markets, Rothschild Rates Buy
01/20/2026
2
Autodesk to cut 1,000 workers as the tech company bets on AI
01/23/2026
3
Pinterest to cut up to 15 percent of its workforce as focus on AI intensifies
01/28/2026
4
Equities Research Analysts Upgrades for February 2nd
02/02/2026
5
Addnode Group AB Q4 2025 Earnings Call Highlights Record EBITA and Strategic ...
02/03/2026
6
JPMorgan Upgrades Autodesk on AI and Infrastructure Exposure
02/04/2026
7
Is Autodesk Turning Its AI Design Push Into a Durable Competitive Moat
02/05/2026
8
Envestnet Asset Management Inc. Sells 25,671 Shares of Autodesk, Inc. ADSK
02/06/2026
9
Alphabet Stock Price Down 1.8 percent Time to Sell
02/10/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow1.9 B
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-903 M

Autodesk Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  30,174  in Autodesk on November 12, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (5,816) from holding Autodesk or give up 19.27% of portfolio value over 90 days. Autodesk is currently does not generate positive expected returns and assumes 1.8942% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 17% of stocks are less volatile than Autodesk, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Autodesk is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 2.34 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.18 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.08 per unit of volatility.

Autodesk Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Autodesk Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 243.58 90 days 243.58 
about 98.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Autodesk to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 98.0 (This Autodesk probability density function shows the probability of Autodesk Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Autodesk has a beta of 1.0. This suggests Autodesk market returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Autodesk is expected to follow. Additionally Autodesk has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Autodesk Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Autodesk

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Autodesk. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Autodesk's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
238.26240.17267.74
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
219.06294.78296.69
Details
32 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
330.52363.20403.16
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
2.302.592.73
Details

Autodesk Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Autodesk is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Autodesk's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Autodesk, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Autodesk within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.4
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.00
σ
Overall volatility
20.47
Ir
Information ratio -0.21

Autodesk Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Autodesk for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Autodesk can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Autodesk generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Autodesk currently holds 2.56 B in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 3.35, implying the company greatly relies on financing operations through barrowing. Autodesk has a current ratio of 0.72, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Autodesk's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity.
Over 96.0% of Autodesk shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Alphabet Stock Price Down 1.8 percent Time to Sell

Autodesk Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Autodesk Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Autodesk's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Autodesk's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding217 M
Cash And Short Term Investments1.9 B

Autodesk Fundamentals Growth

Autodesk Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Autodesk, and Autodesk fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Autodesk Stock performance.

About Autodesk Performance

By examining Autodesk's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can obtain critical insights into Autodesk's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability. These insights assist in making well-informed investment and management decisions. For example, a high Return on Assets and Return on Equity would indicate that Autodesk is effectively utilizing its assets and equity to generate significant profits, enhancing its appeal to investors. On the other hand, low ROA and ROE values could reveal issues in asset and equity management, highlighting the need for operational improvements.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 93.53  92.08 
Return On Tangible Assets 0.21  0.13 
Return On Capital Employed 0.27  0.23 
Return On Assets 0.12  0.11 
Return On Equity 0.38  0.40 

Things to note about Autodesk performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Autodesk for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Autodesk help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Autodesk generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Autodesk currently holds 2.56 B in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 3.35, implying the company greatly relies on financing operations through barrowing. Autodesk has a current ratio of 0.72, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Autodesk's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity.
Over 96.0% of Autodesk shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Alphabet Stock Price Down 1.8 percent Time to Sell
Evaluating Autodesk's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Autodesk's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Autodesk's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Autodesk's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Autodesk's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Autodesk's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Autodesk's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Autodesk's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Autodesk's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Autodesk's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Autodesk's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.
When determining whether Autodesk is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if Autodesk Stock is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Autodesk Stock. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Autodesk Stock:
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Autodesk. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in producer price index.
For more information on how to buy Autodesk Stock please use our How to buy in Autodesk Stock guide.
You can also try the Bonds Directory module to find actively traded corporate debentures issued by US companies.
Is Application Software space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Autodesk. If investors know Autodesk will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive Autodesk assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.26
Earnings Share
5.14
Revenue Per Share
32.262
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.18
Return On Assets
0.0974
Investors evaluate Autodesk using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Autodesk's intrinsic value - the estimated true worth - helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Autodesk's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
Understanding that Autodesk's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether Autodesk represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. Conversely, Autodesk's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.