Applied Energetics Stock Performance

AERG Stock  USD 1.16  0.02  1.69%   
The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.66, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Applied Energetics' returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Applied Energetics is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Applied Energetics has a negative expected return of -0.5%. Please make sure to confirm Applied Energetics' value at risk, as well as the relationship between the accumulation distribution and day typical price , to decide if Applied Energetics performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Applied Energetics has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite fragile performance in the last few months, the Stock's basic indicators remain nearly stable which may send shares a bit higher in March 2026. The current disturbance may also be a sign of long-run up-swing for the company stockholders. ...more
Begin Period Cash Flow3.3 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-207.4 K
  

Applied Energetics Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  166.00  in Applied Energetics on November 10, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (50.00) from holding Applied Energetics or give up 30.12% of portfolio value over 90 days. Applied Energetics is currently does not generate positive expected returns and assumes 3.8443% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 34% of otc stocks are less volatile than Applied, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Applied Energetics is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 4.73 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.13 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.12 per unit of volatility.

Applied Energetics Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Applied OTC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 1.16 90 days 1.16 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Applied Energetics to move above the current price in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Applied Energetics probability density function shows the probability of Applied OTC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Applied Energetics has a beta of 0.66. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Applied Energetics average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Applied Energetics will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Applied Energetics has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Applied Energetics Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Applied Energetics

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Applied Energetics. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.061.165.00
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.061.144.98
Details

Applied Energetics Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Applied Energetics is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Applied Energetics' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Applied Energetics, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Applied Energetics within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.59
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.66
σ
Overall volatility
0.20
Ir
Information ratio -0.16

Applied Energetics Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Applied Energetics for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Applied Energetics can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Applied Energetics generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Applied Energetics may become a speculative penny stock
Applied Energetics has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Net Loss for the year was (5.43 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 22.29 K.
Applied Energetics currently holds about 1.5 M in cash with (3.21 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.01.
Roughly 17.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Applied Energetics Fundamentals Growth

Applied OTC Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Applied Energetics, and Applied Energetics fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Applied OTC Stock performance.

About Applied Energetics Performance

By analyzing Applied Energetics' fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Applied Energetics' financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Applied Energetics has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Applied Energetics has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
Applied Energetics, Inc. engages in the development and manufacture of lasers, advanced optical systems, electronics, and integrated guided energy systems for defense, aerospace, industrial, and scientific customers worldwide. It holds various intellectual property rights to the development and use of laser guided energy technology and related solutions for commercial, defense, and security applications, and are protected by 26 patents and 11 additional Government sensitive patent applications. Applied Energetics operates under Aerospace Defense classification in the United States and is traded on OTC Exchange. It employs 7 people.

Things to note about Applied Energetics performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Applied Energetics for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. OTC Stock alerts and notifications screener for Applied Energetics help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Applied Energetics generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Applied Energetics may become a speculative penny stock
Applied Energetics has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Net Loss for the year was (5.43 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 22.29 K.
Applied Energetics currently holds about 1.5 M in cash with (3.21 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.01.
Roughly 17.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Evaluating Applied Energetics' performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Applied Energetics' otc stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Applied Energetics' financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Applied Energetics' stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Applied Energetics' industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Applied Energetics' management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Applied Energetics' management team can help you assess the OTC Stock's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Applied Energetics' otc stock. These opinions can provide insight into Applied Energetics' potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Applied Energetics' otc stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Applied Energetics' otc stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Complementary Tools for Applied OTC Stock analysis

When running Applied Energetics' price analysis, check to measure Applied Energetics' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Applied Energetics is operating at the current time. Most of Applied Energetics' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Applied Energetics' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Applied Energetics' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Applied Energetics to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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