AES (Germany) Performance

AES Stock  EUR 13.99  0.20  1.45%   
On a scale of 0 to 100, AES holds a performance score of 10. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.13, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning AES are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, AES is likely to outperform the market. Please check AES's semi deviation, jensen alpha, maximum drawdown, as well as the relationship between the coefficient of variation and sortino ratio , to make a quick decision on whether AES's price patterns will revert.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Fair

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in The AES are ranked lower than 10 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite nearly fragile basic indicators, AES reported solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more
Forward Dividend Yield
0.0424
Payout Ratio
0.4608
Forward Dividend Rate
0.59
Ex Dividend Date
2026-05-04
1
The AES Corporation Receives Consensus Rating of Moderate Buy from Analysts - MarketBeat
11/27/2025
2
Can AES Battery Storage Leadership Shape Grid Modernization - TradingView Track All Markets
01/15/2026
3
Should You Buy, Sell or Hold AES Stock After a 9.2 percent Rise in a Month - Finviz
02/04/2026
  

AES Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  1,187  in The AES on November 25, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  212.00  from holding The AES or generate 17.86% return on investment over 90 days. The AES is currently producing 0.3003% returns and takes up 2.3398% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 21% of traded stocks are less volatile than AES, and 94% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days horizon AES is expected to generate 3.22 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 3.22 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.13 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.12 per unit of risk.

AES Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of AES Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 13.99 90 days 13.99 
about 1.14
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of AES to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 1.14 (This The AES probability density function shows the probability of AES Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon The AES has a beta of -0.13. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding AES are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, The AES is likely to outperform the market. Additionally The AES has an alpha of 0.3447, implying that it can generate a 0.34 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   AES Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for AES

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as AES. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
11.6914.0316.37
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
8.8911.2315.39
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
11.5713.9116.25
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
10.1013.8017.51
Details

AES Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. AES is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the AES's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold The AES, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of AES within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.34
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.13
σ
Overall volatility
0.76
Ir
Information ratio 0.11

AES Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of AES for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for AES can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
AES has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
Over 88.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from news.google.com: Should You Buy, Sell or Hold AES Stock After a 9.2 percent Rise in a Month - Finviz

AES Fundamentals Growth

AES Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of AES, and AES fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on AES Stock performance.

About AES Performance

By analyzing AES's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into AES's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if AES has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if AES has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
The AES Corporation operates as a diversified power generation and utility company. The AES Corporation was founded in 1981 and is headquartered in Arlington, Virginia. AES CORP operates under Utilities - Diversified classification in Germany and is traded on Frankfurt Stock Exchange. It employs 9000 people.

Things to note about AES performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about AES for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for AES help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
AES has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
Over 88.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from news.google.com: Should You Buy, Sell or Hold AES Stock After a 9.2 percent Rise in a Month - Finviz
Evaluating AES's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate AES's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing AES's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether AES's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining AES's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating AES's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of AES's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of AES's stock. These opinions can provide insight into AES's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating AES's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact AES's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Complementary Tools for AES Stock analysis

When running AES's price analysis, check to measure AES's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy AES is operating at the current time. Most of AES's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of AES's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move AES's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of AES to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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