Ars Focused Opportunity Etf Performance

AFOS Etf   38.78  0.09  0.23%   
The etf shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.97, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. ARS Focused returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, ARS Focused is expected to follow.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Solid

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in ARS Focused Opportunity are ranked lower than 18 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of comparatively abnormal basic indicators, ARS Focused unveiled solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more

ARS Focused Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  3,272  in ARS Focused Opportunity on October 31, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  606.00  from holding ARS Focused Opportunity or generate 18.52% return on investment over 90 days. ARS Focused Opportunity is currently generating 0.2867% in daily expected returns and assumes 1.2587% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 11% of etfs are less volatile than ARS, and 95% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days ARS Focused is expected to generate 1.68 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 1.68 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.23 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.07 per unit of risk.

ARS Focused Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of ARS Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 38.78 90 days 38.78 
about 1.51
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of ARS Focused to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 1.51 (This ARS Focused Opportunity probability density function shows the probability of ARS Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days ARS Focused has a beta of 0.97. This suggests ARS Focused Opportunity market returns are related to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, ARS Focused is expected to follow. Additionally ARS Focused Opportunity has an alpha of 0.2269, implying that it can generate a 0.23 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   ARS Focused Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for ARS Focused

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as ARS Focused Opportunity. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
37.5238.7840.04
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
34.9041.1642.42
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
37.8239.0840.34
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
33.9736.5339.09
Details

ARS Focused Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. ARS Focused is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the ARS Focused's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold ARS Focused Opportunity, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of ARS Focused within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.23
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.97
σ
Overall volatility
2.02
Ir
Information ratio 0.18

About ARS Focused Performance

Assessing ARS Focused's fundamental ratios provides investors with valuable insights into ARS Focused's financial health and overall profitability. This information is crucial for making informed investment decisions. A high ROA would indicate that the ARS Focused is effectively leveraging its assets and equity to generate significant profits, making it an appealing investment. Conversely, low Return on Assets could signal underlying management issues in assets and equity, indicating a necessity for operational refinements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.