Aferian PLC (UK) Performance

AFRN Stock   0.33  0.05  13.16%   
The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 1.05, which signifies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. Aferian PLC returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Aferian PLC is expected to follow. At this point, Aferian PLC has a negative expected return of -2.25%. Please make sure to confirm Aferian PLC's mean deviation, standard deviation, information ratio, as well as the relationship between the coefficient of variation and variance , to decide if Aferian PLC performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Aferian PLC has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of uncertain performance in the last few months, the Stock's basic indicators remain comparatively stable which may send shares a bit higher in March 2026. The newest uproar may also be a sign of mid-term up-swing for the firm private investors. ...more
Begin Period Cash Flow5.8 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-1.9 M
  

Aferian PLC Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  203.00  in Aferian PLC on November 19, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (170.00) from holding Aferian PLC or give up 83.74% of portfolio value over 90 days. Aferian PLC is generating negative expected returns and assumes 8.5877% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. Simply put, 77% of stocks are less volatile than Aferian, and 99% of all equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns than the company over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Aferian PLC is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 11.37 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.26 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.16 per unit of volatility.

Aferian PLC Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Aferian Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 0.33 90 days 0.33 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Aferian PLC to move above the current price in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Aferian PLC probability density function shows the probability of Aferian Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.05 . This suggests Aferian PLC market returns are related to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Aferian PLC is expected to follow. Additionally Aferian PLC has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Aferian PLC Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Aferian PLC

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Aferian PLC. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.020.338.92
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.020.328.91
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Aferian PLC Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Aferian PLC is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Aferian PLC's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Aferian PLC, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Aferian PLC within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-2.31
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.05
σ
Overall volatility
0.37
Ir
Information ratio -0.27

Aferian PLC Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Aferian PLC for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Aferian PLC can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Aferian PLC generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Aferian PLC has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Aferian PLC has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Aferian PLC has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
The company reported the revenue of 26.31 M. Net Loss for the year was (13.96 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 18.93 M.
Aferian PLC generates negative cash flow from operations
About 69.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies

Aferian PLC Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Aferian Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Aferian PLC's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Aferian PLC's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding114 M
Cash And Short Term Investments2.3 M

Aferian PLC Fundamentals Growth

Aferian Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Aferian PLC, and Aferian PLC fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Aferian Stock performance.

About Aferian PLC Performance

Assessing Aferian PLC's fundamental ratios provides investors with valuable insights into Aferian PLC's financial health and overall profitability. This information is crucial for making informed investment decisions. A high ROA would indicate that the Aferian PLC is effectively leveraging its assets and equity to generate significant profits, making it an appealing investment. Conversely, low Return on Assets could signal underlying management issues in assets and equity, indicating a necessity for operational refinements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.

Things to note about Aferian PLC performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Aferian PLC for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Aferian PLC help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Aferian PLC generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Aferian PLC has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Aferian PLC has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Aferian PLC has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
The company reported the revenue of 26.31 M. Net Loss for the year was (13.96 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 18.93 M.
Aferian PLC generates negative cash flow from operations
About 69.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Evaluating Aferian PLC's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Aferian PLC's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Aferian PLC's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Aferian PLC's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Aferian PLC's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Aferian PLC's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Aferian PLC's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Aferian PLC's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Aferian PLC's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Aferian PLC's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Aferian PLC's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Additional Tools for Aferian Stock Analysis

When running Aferian PLC's price analysis, check to measure Aferian PLC's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Aferian PLC is operating at the current time. Most of Aferian PLC's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Aferian PLC's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Aferian PLC's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Aferian PLC to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.