Alcon AG (Switzerland) Performance

ALC Stock  CHF 61.98  0.68  1.09%   
Alcon AG has a performance score of 3 on a scale of 0 to 100. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.24, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Alcon AG's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Alcon AG is expected to be smaller as well. Alcon AG right now shows a risk of 1.63%. Please confirm Alcon AG sortino ratio, semi variance, and the relationship between the standard deviation and value at risk , to decide if Alcon AG will be following its price patterns.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Soft

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Alcon AG are ranked lower than 3 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly stable fundamental indicators, Alcon AG is not utilizing all of its potentials. The latest stock price fuss, may contribute to near-short-term losses for the sophisticated investors. ...more
Begin Period Cash Flow1.6 B
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-1.2 B
  

Alcon AG Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  5,974  in Alcon AG on October 30, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  224.00  from holding Alcon AG or generate 3.75% return on investment over 90 days. Alcon AG is generating 0.0764% of daily returns assuming 1.6253% volatility of returns over the 90 days investment horizon. Simply put, 14% of all stocks have less volatile historical return distribution than Alcon AG, and 99% of all equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns than the company over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Alcon AG is expected to generate 2.15 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 2.15 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.05 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.07 per unit of risk.

Alcon AG Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Alcon Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 61.98 90 days 61.98 
about 60.46
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Alcon AG to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 60.46 (This Alcon AG probability density function shows the probability of Alcon Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Alcon AG has a beta of 0.24. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Alcon AG average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Alcon AG will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Alcon AG has an alpha of 0.0364, implying that it can generate a 0.0364 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Alcon AG Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Alcon AG

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Alcon AG. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
60.3761.9863.59
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
60.4762.0863.69
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
60.2161.8263.43
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
61.8263.6665.50
Details

Alcon AG Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Alcon AG is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Alcon AG's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Alcon AG, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Alcon AG within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.04
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.24
σ
Overall volatility
1.81
Ir
Information ratio -0.01

Alcon AG Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Alcon AG for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Alcon AG can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 61.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies

Alcon AG Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Alcon Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Alcon AG's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Alcon AG's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding493.4 M
Cash And Short Term Investments1.6 B

Alcon AG Fundamentals Growth

Alcon Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Alcon AG, and Alcon AG fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Alcon Stock performance.

About Alcon AG Performance

Evaluating Alcon AG's performance through its fundamental ratios, provides valuable insights into its operational efficiency and profitability. For instance, if Alcon AG has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Alcon AG has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
Alcon, Inc. develops and manufactures eye care products for eye care professionals and their patients. operates independently of Novartis AG as of April 9, 2019. ALCON N operates under Medical Instruments Supplies classification in Switzerland and is traded on Switzerland Exchange. It employs 20000 people.

Things to note about Alcon AG performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Alcon AG for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Alcon AG help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 61.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Evaluating Alcon AG's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Alcon AG's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Alcon AG's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Alcon AG's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Alcon AG's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Alcon AG's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Alcon AG's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Alcon AG's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Alcon AG's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Alcon AG's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Alcon AG's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Additional Tools for Alcon Stock Analysis

When running Alcon AG's price analysis, check to measure Alcon AG's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Alcon AG is operating at the current time. Most of Alcon AG's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Alcon AG's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Alcon AG's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Alcon AG to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.