Alternus Energy Group Performance

ALCEDelisted Stock   0.0008  0.00  0.00%   
The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 1.22, which signifies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Alternus Energy will likely underperform. At this point, Alternus Energy Group has a negative expected return of -25.21%. Please make sure to confirm Alternus Energy's value at risk and the relationship between the skewness and day typical price , to decide if Alternus Energy Group performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Alternus Energy Group has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of fragile performance in the last few months, the Stock's fundamental indicators remain rather sound which may send shares a bit higher in March 2026. The latest tumult may also be a sign of longer-term up-swing for the firm shareholders. ...more
  

Alternus Energy Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  134.00  in Alternus Energy Group on November 8, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (133.92) from holding Alternus Energy Group or give up 99.94% of portfolio value over 90 days. Alternus Energy Group is currently does not generate positive expected returns and assumes 43.9702% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, most equities are less risky than Alternus, and most traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Alternus Energy is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 53.67 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.57 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.12 per unit of volatility.

Alternus Energy Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Alternus OTC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 0.0008 90 days 0.0008 
about 92.01
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Alternus Energy to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 92.01 (This Alternus Energy Group probability density function shows the probability of Alternus OTC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the otc stock has the beta coefficient of 1.22 . This suggests as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Alternus Energy will likely underperform. Additionally Alternus Energy Group has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Alternus Energy Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Alternus Energy

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Alternus Energy Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Alternus Energy's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.000843.97
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.000843.97
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.130.831.52
Details

Alternus Energy Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Alternus Energy is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Alternus Energy's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Alternus Energy Group, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Alternus Energy within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-3.32
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.22
σ
Overall volatility
0.91
Ir
Information ratio -0.14

Alternus Energy Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Alternus Energy for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Alternus Energy Group can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Alternus Energy is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
Alternus Energy generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Alternus Energy has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Alternus Energy has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Alternus Energy has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 20.08 M. Net Loss for the year was (53.65 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 23.7 M.
About 51.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Alternus Energy Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Alternus OTC Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Alternus Energy's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Alternus Energy's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding2.3 M
Cash And Short Term Investments23.8 M

Alternus Energy Fundamentals Growth

Alternus OTC Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Alternus Energy, and Alternus Energy fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Alternus OTC Stock performance.

About Alternus Energy Performance

By analyzing Alternus Energy's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Alternus Energy's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Alternus Energy has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Alternus Energy has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.

Things to note about Alternus Energy Group performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Alternus Energy for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. OTC Stock alerts and notifications screener for Alternus Energy Group help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Alternus Energy is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
Alternus Energy generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Alternus Energy has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Alternus Energy has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Alternus Energy has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 20.08 M. Net Loss for the year was (53.65 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 23.7 M.
About 51.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Evaluating Alternus Energy's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Alternus Energy's otc stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Alternus Energy's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Alternus Energy's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Alternus Energy's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Alternus Energy's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Alternus Energy's management team can help you assess the OTC Stock's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Alternus Energy's otc stock. These opinions can provide insight into Alternus Energy's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Alternus Energy's otc stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Alternus Energy's otc stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any otc stock could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in private.
Note that the Alternus Energy Group information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Alternus Energy's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Idea Analyzer module to analyze all characteristics, volatility and risk-adjusted return of Macroaxis ideas.

Other Consideration for investing in Alternus OTC Stock

If you are still planning to invest in Alternus Energy Group check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Alternus Energy's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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