Allurion Technologies Stock Performance
| ALUR Stock | 1.12 0.06 5.66% |
The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 3.35, which signifies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Allurion Technologies will likely underperform. At this point, Allurion Technologies has a negative expected return of -0.12%. Please make sure to confirm Allurion Technologies' value at risk, as well as the relationship between the daily balance of power and price action indicator , to decide if Allurion Technologies performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Weakest
Weak | Strong |
Over the last 90 days Allurion Technologies has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Even with latest unsteady performance, the Stock's basic indicators remain invariable and the latest agitation on Wall Street may also be a sign of long-running gains for the enterprise retail investors. ...more
Last Split Factor 1:25 | Last Split Date 2025-01-03 |
1 | Chardan Capital Reaffirms Neutral Rating for Allurion Technologies | 11/20/2025 |
2 | Allurion Announces Initial Results on Combining the Allurion Program With Low-Dose Tirzepatide to Optimize Muscle Mass and GLP-1 Adherence | 11/25/2025 |
3 | Disposition of 2608 shares by Davin Michael R of Allurion Technologies, subject to Rule 16b-3 | 11/26/2025 |
4 | Disposition of 1606 shares by Davin Michael R of Allurion Technologies, at 1.48 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 12/03/2025 |
5 | Allurion Shareholders Approve Governance Changes and Capital Actions - TipRanks | 12/19/2025 |
6 | Portfolio Update Is Allurion Technologies Inc Equity Warrant being accumulated by smart money - Oil Prices Risk Managed Investment Entry Signals - baoquankhu1.v... | 01/16/2026 |
7 | Allurion Announces Partnership to Offer Combination Therapy with Mounjaro at Discounted Prices | 02/03/2026 |
| Begin Period Cash Flow | 38.4 M | |
| Total Cashflows From Investing Activities | -611 K |
Allurion Technologies Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you would invest 142.00 in Allurion Technologies on November 18, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (30.00) from holding Allurion Technologies or give up 21.13% of portfolio value over 90 days. Allurion Technologies is currently does not generate positive expected returns and assumes 7.4359% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 66% of stocks are less volatile than Allurion, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon. Expected Return |
| Risk |
Allurion Technologies Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price
The tendency of Allurion Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 1.12 | 90 days | 1.12 | under 95 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Allurion Technologies to move above the current price in 90 days from now is under 95 (This Allurion Technologies probability density function shows the probability of Allurion Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Allurion Technologies Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Allurion Technologies
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Allurion Technologies. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Allurion Technologies' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Allurion Technologies Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Allurion Technologies is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Allurion Technologies' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Allurion Technologies, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Allurion Technologies within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.58 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 3.35 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.22 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.06 |
Allurion Technologies Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Allurion Technologies for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Allurion Technologies can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Allurion Technologies generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Allurion Technologies has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Allurion Technologies may become a speculative penny stock | |
| Allurion Technologies has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 32.11 M. Net Loss for the year was (26.15 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 10.5 M. | |
| Allurion Technologies generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| Allurion Technologies has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| About 56.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Allurion Announces Partnership to Offer Combination Therapy with Mounjaro at Discounted Prices |
Allurion Technologies Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Allurion Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Allurion Technologies' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Allurion Technologies' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 2.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 15.4 M |
Allurion Technologies Fundamentals Growth
Allurion Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Allurion Technologies, and Allurion Technologies fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Allurion Stock performance.
| Return On Asset | -0.72 | ||||
| Profit Margin | (1.88) % | ||||
| Operating Margin | (3.62) % | ||||
| Current Valuation | 41.01 M | ||||
| Shares Outstanding | 12.28 M | ||||
| Price To Sales | 0.80 X | ||||
| Revenue | 32.11 M | ||||
| Gross Profit | 10.5 M | ||||
| EBITDA | (22.17 M) | ||||
| Net Income | (26.15 M) | ||||
| Total Debt | 37.92 M | ||||
| Book Value Per Share | (10.68) X | ||||
| Cash Flow From Operations | (42.3 M) | ||||
| Earnings Per Share | (16.20) X | ||||
| Market Capitalization | 13.77 M | ||||
| Total Asset | 32.81 M | ||||
| Retained Earnings | (222.21 M) | ||||
| Working Capital | 8.29 M | ||||
About Allurion Technologies Performance
Assessing Allurion Technologies' fundamental ratios provides investors with valuable insights into Allurion Technologies' financial health and overall profitability. This information is crucial for making informed investment decisions. A high ROA would indicate that the Allurion Technologies is effectively leveraging its assets and equity to generate significant profits, making it an appealing investment. Conversely, low Return on Assets could signal underlying management issues in assets and equity, indicating a necessity for operational refinements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Days Of Inventory On Hand | 105.30 | 103.86 | |
| Return On Tangible Assets | (0.92) | (0.96) | |
| Return On Capital Employed | (4.14) | (4.35) | |
| Return On Assets | (0.92) | (0.96) | |
| Return On Equity | 0.30 | 0.44 |
Things to note about Allurion Technologies performance evaluation
Checking the ongoing alerts about Allurion Technologies for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Allurion Technologies help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Allurion Technologies generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Allurion Technologies has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Allurion Technologies may become a speculative penny stock | |
| Allurion Technologies has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 32.11 M. Net Loss for the year was (26.15 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 10.5 M. | |
| Allurion Technologies generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| Allurion Technologies has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| About 56.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Allurion Announces Partnership to Offer Combination Therapy with Mounjaro at Discounted Prices |
- Analyzing Allurion Technologies' financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
- Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Allurion Technologies' stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
- Examining Allurion Technologies' industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
- Evaluating Allurion Technologies' management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Allurion Technologies' management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
- Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Allurion Technologies' stock. These opinions can provide insight into Allurion Technologies' potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
Additional Tools for Allurion Stock Analysis
When running Allurion Technologies' price analysis, check to measure Allurion Technologies' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Allurion Technologies is operating at the current time. Most of Allurion Technologies' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Allurion Technologies' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Allurion Technologies' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Allurion Technologies to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.