Vergnet (France) Performance

ALVER Stock  EUR 0.12  0.05  29.41%   
Vergnet holds a performance score of 7 on a scale of zero to a hundred. The entity has a beta of 95.0, which indicates a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Vergnet will likely underperform. Use Vergnet value at risk, as well as the relationship between the kurtosis and day typical price , to analyze future returns on Vergnet.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Fair

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Vergnet are ranked lower than 7 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Even with relatively fragile basic indicators, Vergnet reported solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more
Last Split Factor
1:7600
Last Split Date
2026-01-13
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ALVER.PA Vergnet SA EURONEXT down 26.88 percent 15 Jan 2026 balance-sheet risk ahead - Meyka
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Begin Period Cash Flow3.5 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities251 K
  

Vergnet Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  76.00  in Vergnet on November 5, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (64.00) from holding Vergnet or give up 84.21% of portfolio value over 90 days. Vergnet is generating 12.1441% of daily returns and assumes 129.4242% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. Simply put, majority of traded equity instruments are less risky than Vergnet on the basis of their historical return distribution, and most equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns than the company over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Vergnet is expected to generate 170.59 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 170.59 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.09 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.1 per unit of risk.

Vergnet Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Vergnet Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 0.12 90 days 0.12 
about 98.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Vergnet to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 98.0 (This Vergnet probability density function shows the probability of Vergnet Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 95.0 . This suggests as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Vergnet will likely underperform. In addition to that Vergnet has an alpha of 11505.3525, implying that it can generate a 11505.35 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Vergnet Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Vergnet

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Vergnet. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.010.1256.12
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.010.1256.12
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
00.21128.58
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
-0.140.420.97
Details

Vergnet Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Vergnet is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Vergnet's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Vergnet, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Vergnet within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
11,505
β
Beta against Dow Jones95.00
σ
Overall volatility
0.24
Ir
Information ratio 0.12

Vergnet Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Vergnet for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Vergnet can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Vergnet is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Vergnet has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Vergnet appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Vergnet has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
The company reported the revenue of 4.65 M. Net Loss for the year was (16.85 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (2.66 M).
Vergnet has accumulated about 114 K in cash with (4.52 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.08.
Latest headline from news.google.com: ALVER.PA Vergnet SA EURONEXT down 26.88 percent 15 Jan 2026 balance-sheet risk ahead - Meyka

Vergnet Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Vergnet Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Vergnet's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Vergnet's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding22.7 K
Cash And Short Term Investments3.4 M

Vergnet Fundamentals Growth

Vergnet Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Vergnet, and Vergnet fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Vergnet Stock performance.

About Vergnet Performance

Assessing Vergnet's fundamental ratios provides investors with valuable insights into Vergnet's financial health and overall profitability. This information is crucial for making informed investment decisions. A high ROA would indicate that the Vergnet is effectively leveraging its assets and equity to generate significant profits, making it an appealing investment. Conversely, low Return on Assets could signal underlying management issues in assets and equity, indicating a necessity for operational refinements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 368.97  387.42 
Return On Tangible Assets(0.94)(0.90)
Return On Capital Employed 1.29  1.35 
Return On Assets(0.93)(0.88)
Return On Equity 0.71  0.66 

Things to note about Vergnet performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Vergnet for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Vergnet help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Vergnet is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Vergnet has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Vergnet appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Vergnet has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
The company reported the revenue of 4.65 M. Net Loss for the year was (16.85 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (2.66 M).
Vergnet has accumulated about 114 K in cash with (4.52 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.08.
Latest headline from news.google.com: ALVER.PA Vergnet SA EURONEXT down 26.88 percent 15 Jan 2026 balance-sheet risk ahead - Meyka
Evaluating Vergnet's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Vergnet's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Vergnet's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Vergnet's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Vergnet's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Vergnet's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Vergnet's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Vergnet's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Vergnet's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Vergnet's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Vergnet's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Additional Tools for Vergnet Stock Analysis

When running Vergnet's price analysis, check to measure Vergnet's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Vergnet is operating at the current time. Most of Vergnet's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Vergnet's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Vergnet's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Vergnet to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.