Ambiq Micro Stock Performance

AMBQ Stock   31.72  1.54  4.63%   
Ambiq Micro has a performance score of 2 on a scale of 0 to 100. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 2.56, which signifies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Ambiq Micro will likely underperform. Ambiq Micro right now shows a risk of 3.84%. Please confirm Ambiq Micro value at risk, daily balance of power, and the relationship between the total risk alpha and expected short fall , to decide if Ambiq Micro will be following its price patterns.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Soft

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Ambiq Micro are ranked lower than 2 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Even with relatively unsteady fundamental drivers, Ambiq Micro may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in February 2026. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
(4.63)
Five Day Return
(6.13)
Year To Date Return
4.51
Ten Year Return
(17.67)
All Time Return
(17.67)
1
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6
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7
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8
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01/21/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow27.3 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-3.7 M

Ambiq Micro Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  3,041  in Ambiq Micro on October 29, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  131.00  from holding Ambiq Micro or generate 4.31% return on investment over 90 days. Ambiq Micro is currently generating 0.1426% in daily expected returns and assumes 3.8401% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 34% of stocks are less volatile than Ambiq, and 98% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Ambiq Micro is expected to generate 5.14 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 5.14 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.04 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.09 per unit of risk.

Ambiq Micro Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Ambiq Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 31.72 90 days 31.72 
about 21.33
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Ambiq Micro to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 21.33 (This Ambiq Micro probability density function shows the probability of Ambiq Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 2.56 . This suggests as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Ambiq Micro will likely underperform. Additionally Ambiq Micro has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Ambiq Micro Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Ambiq Micro

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Ambiq Micro. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
27.9031.7235.54
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
21.6825.5034.89
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
29.5633.3937.21
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
-0.35-0.34-0.31
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Ambiq Micro. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Ambiq Micro's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Ambiq Micro's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Ambiq Micro.

Ambiq Micro Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Ambiq Micro is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Ambiq Micro's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Ambiq Micro, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Ambiq Micro within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.13
β
Beta against Dow Jones2.56
σ
Overall volatility
3.22
Ir
Information ratio -0.0047

Ambiq Micro Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Ambiq Micro for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Ambiq Micro can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Ambiq Micro had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Ambiq Micro has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 76.07 M. Net Loss for the year was (39.66 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 28.28 M.
Ambiq Micro generates negative cash flow from operations
Latest headline from globenewswire.com: Ambiq Announces Public Offering of Common Stock

Ambiq Micro Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Ambiq Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Ambiq Micro's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Ambiq Micro's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding13.6 M
Cash And Short Term Investments61 M

Ambiq Micro Fundamentals Growth

Ambiq Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Ambiq Micro, and Ambiq Micro fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Ambiq Stock performance.

About Ambiq Micro Performance

Assessing Ambiq Micro's fundamental ratios provides investors with valuable insights into Ambiq Micro's financial health and overall profitability. This information is crucial for making informed investment decisions. A high ROA would indicate that the Ambiq Micro is effectively leveraging its assets and equity to generate significant profits, making it an appealing investment. Conversely, low Return on Assets could signal underlying management issues in assets and equity, indicating a necessity for operational refinements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 95.22  114.45 
Return On Tangible Assets(0.49)(0.52)
Return On Capital Employed(0.50)(0.53)
Return On Assets(0.44)(0.46)
Return On Equity(0.53)(0.56)

Things to note about Ambiq Micro performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Ambiq Micro for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Ambiq Micro help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Ambiq Micro had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Ambiq Micro has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 76.07 M. Net Loss for the year was (39.66 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 28.28 M.
Ambiq Micro generates negative cash flow from operations
Latest headline from globenewswire.com: Ambiq Announces Public Offering of Common Stock
Evaluating Ambiq Micro's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Ambiq Micro's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Ambiq Micro's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Ambiq Micro's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Ambiq Micro's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Ambiq Micro's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Ambiq Micro's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Ambiq Micro's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Ambiq Micro's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Ambiq Micro's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Ambiq Micro's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Additional Tools for Ambiq Stock Analysis

When running Ambiq Micro's price analysis, check to measure Ambiq Micro's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Ambiq Micro is operating at the current time. Most of Ambiq Micro's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Ambiq Micro's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Ambiq Micro's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Ambiq Micro to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.