Amcap Fund Class Fund Manager Performance Evaluation

AMCPX Fund  USD 45.44  0.89  1.92%   
The fund shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.0068, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Amcap Fund are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Amcap Fund is likely to outperform the market.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Fair

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Amcap Fund Class are ranked lower than 8 (%) of all funds and portfolios of funds over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly strong basic indicators, Amcap Fund is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.
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1
Is American Funds AMCAP A a Strong Mutual Fund Pick Right Now - sharewise.com
11/06/2025
2
Caesars Entertainment Price Target Decreased by 10.87 percent to 37.64 - MSN
01/23/2026
Expense Ratio Date1st of May 2025
Expense Ratio0.6400
  

Amcap Fund Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  4,298  in Amcap Fund Class on November 7, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  246.00  from holding Amcap Fund Class or generate 5.72% return on investment over 90 days. Amcap Fund Class is currently producing 0.0972% returns and takes up 0.9427% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 8% of traded mutual funds are less volatile than AMCAP, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days horizon Amcap Fund is expected to generate 1.25 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 1.25 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.1 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.12 per unit of risk.

Amcap Fund Current Valuation

Fairly Valued
Today
45.44
Please note that Amcap Fund's price fluctuation is very steady at this time. At this time, the entity appears to be fairly valued. Amcap Fund Class shows a prevailing Real Value of $45.45 per share. The current price of the fund is $45.44. We determine the value of Amcap Fund Class from analyzing fund fundamentals and technical indicators as well as its Probability Of Bankruptcy. In general, we favor acquiring undervalued mutual funds and dropping overvalued mutual funds since, at some point, mutual fund prices and their ongoing real values will blend.
Since Amcap Fund is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of AMCAP Mutual Fund. However, Amcap Fund's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  45.44 Real  45.45 Hype  45.44 Naive  45.56
The intrinsic value of Amcap Fund's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence Amcap Fund's stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
45.45
Real Value
46.38
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Amcap Fund Class helps investors to forecast how AMCAP mutual fund's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Amcap Fund more accurately as focusing exclusively on Amcap Fund's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
45.5246.5347.54
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
44.5145.4446.37
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
44.6345.5646.50
Details
Below is the normalized historical share price chart for Amcap Fund Class extending back to November 05, 1984. This chart has been adjusted for all splits and dividends and is plotted against all major global economic recessions. As of today, the current price of Amcap Fund stands at 45.44, as last reported on the 5th of February, with the highest price reaching 45.44 and the lowest price hitting 45.44 during the day.
 
Black Monday
 
Oil Shock
 
Dot-com Bubble
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes

Amcap Fund Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of AMCAP Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 45.44 90 days 45.44 
about 39.32
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Amcap Fund to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 39.32 (This Amcap Fund Class probability density function shows the probability of AMCAP Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Amcap Fund Class has a beta of -0.0068. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Amcap Fund are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Amcap Fund Class is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Amcap Fund Class has an alpha of 0.0313, implying that it can generate a 0.0313 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Amcap Fund Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Amcap Fund

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Amcap Fund Class. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
44.5145.4446.37
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
44.5245.4546.38
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
44.6345.5646.50
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
45.5246.5347.54
Details

Amcap Fund Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Amcap Fund is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Amcap Fund's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Amcap Fund Class, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Amcap Fund within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.03
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.0068
σ
Overall volatility
1.55
Ir
Information ratio -0.02

Amcap Fund Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Amcap Fund for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Amcap Fund Class can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Latest headline from news.google.com: Caesars Entertainment Price Target Decreased by 10.87 percent to 37.64 - MSN
The fund holds about 8.1% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash

Amcap Fund Fundamentals Growth

AMCAP Mutual Fund prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Amcap Fund, and Amcap Fund fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on AMCAP Mutual Fund performance.

About Amcap Fund Performance

Evaluating Amcap Fund's performance through its fundamental ratios, provides valuable insights into its operational efficiency and profitability. For instance, if Amcap Fund has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Amcap Fund has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
The fund invests primarily in common stocks of U.S. companies that have solid long-term growth records and the potential for good future growth. The basic investment philosophy of the investment adviser is to seek to invest in attractively valued companies that, in its opinion, represent good, long-term investment opportunities.

Things to note about Amcap Fund Class performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Amcap Fund for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Mutual Fund alerts and notifications screener for Amcap Fund Class help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Latest headline from news.google.com: Caesars Entertainment Price Target Decreased by 10.87 percent to 37.64 - MSN
The fund holds about 8.1% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash
Evaluating Amcap Fund's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Amcap Fund's mutual fund performance include:
  • Analyzing Amcap Fund's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Amcap Fund's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Amcap Fund's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Amcap Fund's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Amcap Fund's management team can help you assess the Mutual Fund's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Amcap Fund's mutual fund. These opinions can provide insight into Amcap Fund's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Amcap Fund's mutual fund performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Amcap Fund's mutual fund market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Other Information on Investing in AMCAP Mutual Fund

Amcap Fund financial ratios help investors to determine whether AMCAP Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in AMCAP with respect to the benefits of owning Amcap Fund security.
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