Ama Group Limited Stock Performance

AMGRF Stock  USD 0.51  0.00  0.00%   
The firm owns a Beta (Systematic Risk) of -0.19, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning AMA Group are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, AMA Group is likely to outperform the market. At this point, AMA Group Limited has a negative expected return of -0.35%. Please make sure to confirm AMA Group's standard deviation, as well as the relationship between the maximum drawdown and day median price , to decide if AMA Group Limited performance from the past will be repeated in the future.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days AMA Group Limited has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite fragile performance in the last few months, the Stock's basic indicators remain nearly stable which may send shares a bit higher in February 2026. The current disturbance may also be a sign of long-run up-swing for the company stockholders. ...more
Begin Period Cash Flow64.2 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-17.9 M
  

AMA Group Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  65.00  in AMA Group Limited on October 29, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (14.00) from holding AMA Group Limited or give up 21.54% of portfolio value over 90 days. AMA Group Limited is currently producing negative expected returns and takes up 2.7577% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 24% of traded pink sheets are less volatile than AMA, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days horizon AMA Group is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 3.69 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.13 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.09 per unit of volatility.

AMA Group Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of AMA Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 0.51 90 days 0.51 
about 90.75
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of AMA Group to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 90.75 (This AMA Group Limited probability density function shows the probability of AMA Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon AMA Group Limited has a beta of -0.19. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding AMA Group are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, AMA Group Limited is likely to outperform the market. Additionally AMA Group Limited has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   AMA Group Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for AMA Group

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as AMA Group Limited. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.030.513.27
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.020.463.22
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.010.523.28
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.510.510.51
Details

AMA Group Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. AMA Group is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the AMA Group's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold AMA Group Limited, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of AMA Group within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.32
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.19
σ
Overall volatility
0.07
Ir
Information ratio -0.15

AMA Group Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of AMA Group for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for AMA Group Limited can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
AMA Group Limited generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
AMA Group Limited has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
AMA Group Limited has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
AMA Group Limited has accumulated 205.09 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 2.26, implying the company greatly relies on financing operations through barrowing. AMA Group Limited has a current ratio of 0.86, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist AMA Group until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, AMA Group's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like AMA Group Limited sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for AMA to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about AMA Group's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
The entity reported the revenue of 838.08 M. Net Loss for the year was (144.21 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 420.76 M.
AMA Group Limited has accumulated about 53.8 M in cash with (28.23 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.05.

AMA Group Fundamentals Growth

AMA Pink Sheet prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of AMA Group, and AMA Group fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on AMA Pink Sheet performance.

About AMA Group Performance

By analyzing AMA Group's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into AMA Group's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if AMA Group has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if AMA Group has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
AMA Group Limited operates and develops complementary businesses in the automotive aftercare market in Australia and New Zealand. AMA Group Limited was incorporated in 2005 and is based in Melbourne, Australia. Ama operates under Auto Parts classification in the United States and is traded on OTC Exchange. It employs 3500 people.

Things to note about AMA Group Limited performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about AMA Group for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Pink Sheet alerts and notifications screener for AMA Group Limited help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
AMA Group Limited generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
AMA Group Limited has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
AMA Group Limited has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
AMA Group Limited has accumulated 205.09 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 2.26, implying the company greatly relies on financing operations through barrowing. AMA Group Limited has a current ratio of 0.86, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist AMA Group until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, AMA Group's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like AMA Group Limited sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for AMA to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about AMA Group's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
The entity reported the revenue of 838.08 M. Net Loss for the year was (144.21 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 420.76 M.
AMA Group Limited has accumulated about 53.8 M in cash with (28.23 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.05.
Evaluating AMA Group's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate AMA Group's pink sheet performance include:
  • Analyzing AMA Group's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether AMA Group's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining AMA Group's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating AMA Group's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of AMA Group's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of AMA Group's pink sheet. These opinions can provide insight into AMA Group's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating AMA Group's pink sheet performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact AMA Group's pink sheet market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Complementary Tools for AMA Pink Sheet analysis

When running AMA Group's price analysis, check to measure AMA Group's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy AMA Group is operating at the current time. Most of AMA Group's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of AMA Group's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move AMA Group's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of AMA Group to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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