Ampio Pharm Stock Performance

AMPE Stock  USD 0.28  -0.01  -3.45%   
Ampio Pharm holds a performance score of 21 on a scale of zero to a hundred. The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 95.0, which attests to a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Ampio Pharm will likely underperform. Use Ampio Pharm sortino ratio and the relationship between the potential upside and day typical price, to analyze future returns on Ampio Pharm.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Constructive
 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared with the broader market, risk-adjusted returns on Ampio Pharm rank lower than 21% of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. This score becomes more useful when investors compare it with downside risk, Sharpe Ratio, and current trend stability. In spite of rather unfluctuating basic indicators, Ampio Pharm exhibited solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. Learn More
Begin Period Cash Flow12.7 M
Free Cash Flow-8.6 M
  

Ampio Pharm Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you had invested $ 0.52 in Ampio Pharm on December 12, 2025 and sold it today you would have earned a total of $ 27.48 from holding Ampio Pharm or generated 5284.62% return on investment over 90 days. Ampio Pharm is currently generating a 65.9981% daily expected return and carries 243.3969% risk (volatility on return distribution) over a 90-day horizon. In different words, most equities are less risky than Ampio, and most traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
This benchmark view frames the instrument through return capture and volatility trade-offs. It works best as a comparative read on return quality, drawdown exposure, and volatility burden. Given the investment horizon of 90 days Ampio Pharm is expected to generate 314.67 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 314.67 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.27 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly -0.04 per unit of risk.

Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

Historical analysis shows that Ampio Pink Sheet price tends to gravitate toward a long-run average, consistent with the well-known mean reversion effect. While this is useful for forecasting, some stocks are persistently mispriced, often reflecting additional risk factors that justify the observed spread.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds moving above the current price in 90 days
0.28 90 days 0.28
under 4
Based on our quantitative model, the chance of Ampio Pharm moving above the current price in 90 days from now is under 4 (This distribution for Ampio Pharm illustrates how likely Ampio Pink Sheet is to reach various price levels over 90 days).
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the pink sheet has the beta coefficient of 95.0 . This suggests as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Ampio Pharm will likely underperform. In addition to that, Ampio Pharm has an alpha of 383.7569, implying that it can generate a 383.7569 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherent market risk (beta).
   Ampio Pharm Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Ampio Pharm

Investors analyzing Ampio Pharm can draw on many different pink sheet market forecasting techniques. While no approach eliminates uncertainty, comparing the outputs of diverse models helps investors calibrate expectations and make more informed decisions in the face of market unpredictability.
The mean reversion framework for Ampio Pharm is built on the premise that markets are not perfectly efficient and that prices periodically overshoot their intrinsic value in both directions.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.010.2864.28
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.010.2164.21
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.010.40243.79
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
-0.02640.200.43
Details
Investors analyzing Ampio Pharm should position it within its competitive landscape. Superior peer-relative performance is one of the strongest justifications for a valuation premium.

Primary Risk Indicators

Investors in the pink sheet market have faced considerable volatility over the past two decades. Ampio Pharm has reflected this environment with periods of sharp price declines and strong recoveries. Tracking Ampio Pharm's fundamental risk indicators and adjusting hedges accordingly can help protect portfolios that include Ampio Pharm.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
383.76
β
Beta against Dow Jones95.00
σ
Overall volatility
0.11
Ir
Information ratio 0.33

Ampio Pharm Alerts and Suggestions

Alerts for Ampio Pharm are designed to surface the most relevant stock developments for investors. Ampio Pharm notifications flag significant changes in market conditions, fundamentals, and technical signals that may require action.
Ampio Pharm is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Ampio Pharm has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Ampio Pharm appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Ampio Pharm has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Net Loss for the year was -8.63 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
Ampio Pharm currently holds about 23.25 M in cash with -8.56 M of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.1.

Ampio Pharm Price Density Drivers

Price movements in Ampio Pharm are influenced by the tension between bullish and bearish market participants. When short-sellers increase pressure, long holders often reassess their positions, driving volatility higher. Key market indicators are shown below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding810.1 K
Cash And Short Term Investments4.1 M

Ampio Pharm Fundamentals Growth

The financial health of Ampio Pharm is the primary driver of Ampio Pink Sheet market performance. Investors evaluate revenue trends, earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels to form their outlook on Ampio Pink Sheet.

About Ampio Pharm Performance Analysis

Ampio Pharm performance is measured on a risk-adjusted basis against benchmarks. Consistency across periods improves confidence in structural behavior. Ampio Pharm shows ROE of -113.96%, ROA of -61.57%.

Unless otherwise specified, financial data for Ampio Pharm is derived from periodic company reporting (annual and quarterly where available). Asset-level metrics are computed daily by Macroaxis LLC and refreshed regularly based on asset type. Updates may occur throughout the day.