Amazon (Germany) Performance

AMZ Stock  EUR 177.42  3.74  2.15%   
The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.67, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Amazon's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Amazon is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Amazon Inc has a negative expected return of -0.16%. Please make sure to confirm Amazon's total risk alpha, potential upside, and the relationship between the standard deviation and maximum drawdown , to decide if Amazon Inc performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Amazon Inc has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of latest fragile performance, the Stock's basic indicators remain healthy and the recent disarray on Wall Street may also be a sign of long period gains for the firm investors. ...more
Last Split Factor
20:1
Last Split Date
2022-06-06
1
Amazon Stock Price Prediction for 2025 Where Will It Be in 1 Year - 247 Wall St.
12/08/2025
2
Amazons Datacenter Boom The Next Big Growth Driver for the Stock - TradingView
12/12/2025
3
Whats Up With The Rise In Amazon Stock Today - Benzinga
12/23/2025
4
Amazon Stock Price Prediction in 2030 Bull, Bear, Baseline Forecasts - 247 Wall St.
01/09/2026
5
Amazon.com, Inc. Stock Launches AI Health Tool For One Medical Members - CoinCentral
01/21/2026
6
Nebius vs. Amazon Which AI Cloud Stock is the Better Buy - Finviz
01/27/2026
7
Magnificent Sevens Best And Worst 2025 Performers Report Earnings This Week What To Expect For Alphabet, Amazon Stocks - Benzinga
02/02/2026
8
Amazon Stock Falls Sharply on Earnings. Spending Continues to Soar. - Barrons
02/05/2026
9
AWS Momentum Supports Amazon.coms Expanding AI and Cloud Strategy - Yahoo Finance
02/12/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow82.3 B
Free Cash Flow7.7 B
  

Amazon Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  19,696  in Amazon Inc on November 25, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (1,954) from holding Amazon Inc or give up 9.92% of portfolio value over 90 days. Amazon Inc is producing return of less than zero assuming 1.8498% volatility of returns over the 90 days investment horizon. Simply put, 16% of all stocks have less volatile historical return distribution than Amazon, and 99% of all equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns than the company over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Amazon is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 2.55 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.08 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.12 per unit of volatility.

Amazon Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Amazon Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 177.42 90 days 177.42 
more than 94.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Amazon to move above the current price in 90 days from now is more than 94.0 (This Amazon Inc probability density function shows the probability of Amazon Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Amazon has a beta of 0.67. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Amazon average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Amazon Inc will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Amazon Inc has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Amazon Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Amazon

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Amazon Inc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
175.15177.00178.85
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
132.99134.84195.16
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
182.23184.08185.93
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
105.57172.46239.35
Details

Amazon Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Amazon is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Amazon's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Amazon Inc, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Amazon within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.25
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.67
σ
Overall volatility
11.23
Ir
Information ratio -0.14

Amazon Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Amazon for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Amazon Inc can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Amazon Inc generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Amazon Inc is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Latest headline from news.google.com: AWS Momentum Supports Amazon.coms Expanding AI and Cloud Strategy - Yahoo Finance

Amazon Fundamentals Growth

Amazon Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Amazon, and Amazon fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Amazon Stock performance.

About Amazon Performance

By examining Amazon's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can obtain critical insights into Amazon's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability. These insights assist in making well-informed investment and management decisions. For example, a high Return on Assets and Return on Equity would indicate that Amazon is effectively utilizing its assets and equity to generate significant profits, enhancing its appeal to investors. On the other hand, low ROA and ROE values could reveal issues in asset and equity management, highlighting the need for operational improvements.
Amazon is entity of Germany. It is traded as Stock on HM exchange.

Things to note about Amazon Inc performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Amazon for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Amazon Inc help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Amazon Inc generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Amazon Inc is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Latest headline from news.google.com: AWS Momentum Supports Amazon.coms Expanding AI and Cloud Strategy - Yahoo Finance
Evaluating Amazon's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Amazon's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Amazon's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Amazon's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Amazon's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Amazon's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Amazon's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Amazon's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Amazon's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Amazon's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Amazon's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.
When determining whether Amazon Inc offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Amazon's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Amazon Inc Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Amazon Inc Stock:
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Amazon Inc. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in inflation.
You can also try the Insider Screener module to find insiders across different sectors to evaluate their impact on performance.
Understanding that Amazon's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether Amazon represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. Meanwhile, Amazon's quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.