Amazon Inc Stock Performance

AMZN Stock  USD 210.32  0.00  0.00%   
The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.77, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Amazon's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Amazon is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Amazon Inc has a negative expected return of -0.26%. Please make sure to confirm Amazon's variance, as well as the relationship between the potential upside and day median price , to decide if Amazon Inc performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Amazon Inc has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of fragile performance in the last few months, the Stock's basic indicators remain very healthy which may send shares a bit higher in March 2026. The recent disarray may also be a sign of long period up-swing for the firm investors. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
(5.55)
Five Day Return
(11.75)
Year To Date Return
(7.14)
Ten Year Return
761.61
All Time Return
214.7 K
Last Split Factor
20:1
Last Split Date
2022-06-06
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Begin Period Cash Flow82.3 B
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-142.5 B

Amazon Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  24,910  in Amazon Inc on November 11, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (3,878) from holding Amazon Inc or give up 15.57% of portfolio value over 90 days. Amazon Inc is currently does not generate positive expected returns and assumes 1.7991% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 16% of stocks are less volatile than Amazon, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Amazon is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 2.23 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.14 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.09 per unit of volatility.

Amazon Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Amazon Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 210.32 90 days 210.32 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Amazon to move above the current price in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Amazon Inc probability density function shows the probability of Amazon Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Amazon has a beta of 0.77. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Amazon average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Amazon Inc will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Amazon Inc has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Amazon Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Amazon

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Amazon Inc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
208.51210.31212.11
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
189.29219.14220.94
Details
70 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
259.12284.74316.07
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
1.381.731.77
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Amazon. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Amazon's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Amazon's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Amazon Inc.

Amazon Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Amazon is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Amazon's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Amazon Inc, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Amazon within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.34
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.77
σ
Overall volatility
8.91
Ir
Information ratio -0.2

Amazon Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Amazon for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Amazon Inc can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Amazon Inc generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Amazon Inc is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Amazon Inc currently holds 152.99 B in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 1.2, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Amazon Inc has a current ratio of 0.92, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Amazon's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity.
Amazon Inc has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
About 67.0% of Amazon shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Stock Market Today, Feb. 6 Amazon Falls After 200 Billion AI and Cloud Spending Plan Raises Cash Flow Concerns

Amazon Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Amazon Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Amazon's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Amazon's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding10.9 B
Cash And Short Term Investments123 B

Amazon Fundamentals Growth

Amazon Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Amazon, and Amazon fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Amazon Stock performance.

About Amazon Performance

By examining Amazon's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can obtain critical insights into Amazon's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability. These insights assist in making well-informed investment and management decisions. For example, a high Return on Assets and Return on Equity would indicate that Amazon is effectively utilizing its assets and equity to generate significant profits, enhancing its appeal to investors. On the other hand, low ROA and ROE values could reveal issues in asset and equity management, highlighting the need for operational improvements.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 39.25  31.29 
Return On Tangible Assets 0.10  0.10 
Return On Capital Employed 0.13  0.14 
Return On Assets 0.09  0.10 
Return On Equity 0.19  0.20 

Things to note about Amazon Inc performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Amazon for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Amazon Inc help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Amazon Inc generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Amazon Inc is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Amazon Inc currently holds 152.99 B in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 1.2, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Amazon Inc has a current ratio of 0.92, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Amazon's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity.
Amazon Inc has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
About 67.0% of Amazon shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Stock Market Today, Feb. 6 Amazon Falls After 200 Billion AI and Cloud Spending Plan Raises Cash Flow Concerns
Evaluating Amazon's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Amazon's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Amazon's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Amazon's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Amazon's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Amazon's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Amazon's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Amazon's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Amazon's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Amazon's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Amazon's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.
When determining whether Amazon Inc offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Amazon's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Amazon Inc Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Amazon Inc Stock:
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Amazon Inc. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in nation.
You can also try the Financial Widgets module to easily integrated Macroaxis content with over 30 different plug-and-play financial widgets.
Will Broadline Retail sector continue expanding? Could Amazon diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Amazon. If investors know Amazon will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Amazon data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.05
Earnings Share
7.17
Revenue Per Share
67.279
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.136
Return On Assets
0.0693
The market value of Amazon Inc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Amazon that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Amazon's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Amazon's true underlying value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Because Amazon's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Amazon's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Understanding that Amazon's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether Amazon represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. Meanwhile, Amazon's quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.